Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026?

Total Volume

$80.61K

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Markets

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Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026?

Vol

$80.61K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $80.61K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $80.61K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 10 inches)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 10 inches)	Kalshi	54%
Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 5 inches)	Kalshi	52%
Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 35 inches)	Kalshi	51%
Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 30 inches)	Kalshi	51%
Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 25 inches)	Kalshi	51%
Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 20 inches)	Kalshi	51%
Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 15 inches)	Kalshi	51%
Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 40 inches)	Kalshi	39%
Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 45 inches)	Kalshi	27%
Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 50 inches)	Kalshi	18%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

54%

Top Probability

$80.61K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

December 2026 · 2026-27 season If the total snowfall accumulated at Big Sky Resort, Montana during December 2026, in inches, as reported by OnTheSnow, is strictly greater than X inches, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the total snowfall accumulated at Big Sky Resort, Montana during the calendar month of December 2026, measured in inches and reported by OnTheSnow. Use OnTheSnow's monthly snowfall figure for that month in the 2026-27 season on the historical-snowfall page at ht

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** December 2026 · 2026-27 season

If the total snowfall accumulated at Big Sky Resort, Montana during December 2026, in inches, as reported by OnTheSnow, is strictly greater than X inches, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the total snowfall accumulated at Big Sky Resort, Montana during the calendar month of December 2026, measured in inches and reported by OnTheSnow. Use OnTheSnow's monthly snowfall figure for that month in the 2026-27 season on the historical-snowfall page at ht

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the total snowfall accumulated at Big Sky Resort, Montana during December 2026, in inches, as reported by OnTheSnow, is strictly greater than 50 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the total snowfall accumulated at Big Sky Resort, Montana during the calenda"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $80.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 50 inches)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $27.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 5 inches)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $39.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 45 inches)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $7.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 40 inches)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 35 inches)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $327
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 30 inches)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 25 inches)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 20 inches)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 15 inches)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $42
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 10 inches)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026?

Volume$80.61K

Markets10

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KALSHI

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 10 inches)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

KALSHIOther

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 10 inches)

If the total snowfall accumulated at Big Sky Resort, Montana during December 2026, in inches, as reported by OnTheSnow, is strictly greater than 10 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the total snowfall accumulated at Big Sky Resort, Montana during the calenda

KALSHI

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 5 inches)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

KALSHIOther

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 5 inches)

If the total snowfall accumulated at Big Sky Resort, Montana during December 2026, in inches, as reported by OnTheSnow, is strictly greater than 5 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the total snowfall accumulated at Big Sky Resort, Montana during the calendar

KALSHI

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 35 inches)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

KALSHIOther

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 35 inches)

If the total snowfall accumulated at Big Sky Resort, Montana during December 2026, in inches, as reported by OnTheSnow, is strictly greater than 35 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the total snowfall accumulated at Big Sky Resort, Montana during the calenda

KALSHI

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 30 inches)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

KALSHIOther

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 30 inches)

If the total snowfall accumulated at Big Sky Resort, Montana during December 2026, in inches, as reported by OnTheSnow, is strictly greater than 30 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the total snowfall accumulated at Big Sky Resort, Montana during the calenda

KALSHI

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 25 inches)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

KALSHIOther

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 25 inches)

If the total snowfall accumulated at Big Sky Resort, Montana during December 2026, in inches, as reported by OnTheSnow, is strictly greater than 25 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the total snowfall accumulated at Big Sky Resort, Montana during the calenda

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44¢

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Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 10 inches)

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Events (1)

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026?

Markets (10)

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 10 inches)

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 10 inches)

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 5 inches)

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 5 inches)

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 35 inches)

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 35 inches)

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 30 inches)

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 30 inches)

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 25 inches)

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 25 inches)

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Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 10 inches)

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Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026?

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 10 inches)

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 10 inches)

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 5 inches)

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 5 inches)

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 35 inches)

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 35 inches)

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 30 inches)

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 30 inches)

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 25 inches)

Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 25 inches)

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