Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This is a single Polymarket contract titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET" [1]. The rules state that the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The stated resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].

The listed end time is 2026-10-26T21:30:00.000Z [1]. That is the contract's listed close, not a separate announcement of when results will be published. The title's 5:25PM to 5:30PM ET window is the period the TWAP is measured over, so the rule compares the average over that window with the price at the window's start.

Reading the snapshot

The saved snapshot shows two quoted prices: "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are prices recorded at the provider observation time of 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z, and the evidence was retrieved at 2026-10-26T02:33:00.635Z [1]. They describe that saved moment only and should not be read as live prices now. The provider listed the market as "active" at the time of retrieval [1].

The two prices sum to 1.000, and the market is binary, so the sample is internally consistent. Still, these are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The sample includes one market from one provider event, so there is no cross-platform or cross-contract comparison here. Because this is the only market in the saved event, nothing can be said about how this contract compares with similar Hyperliquid windows.

The supplied evidence does not include trading volume or liquidity, so no conclusions about depth or participation can be drawn.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show the actual TWAP values, the starting price for the window, or the final resolution. It also does not show any price movement after the observation time. The snapshot cannot indicate the current quote, the outcome, or whether the market is still trading at the time you read this.

The sample metadata confirms that all saved markets for this event are included, but the provider's listing does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is covered [1]. Readers should check the live contract rules and the Chainlink data stream directly before relying on any figure.

References

1. Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z.