Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in October 2026?

Name: What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in October 2026?
End: 2026-11-01T03:59:59.999Z

Total Volume

$16.58K

Events

Markets

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What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in October 2026?

Vol

$16.58K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $16.58K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $16.58K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?	Poly	90%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 in October?	Poly	80%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in October?	Poly	62%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	Poly	55%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?	Poly	40%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in October?	Poly	34%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $585 in October?	Poly	25%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 in October?	Poly	17%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $600 in October?	Poly	12%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $465 in October?	Poly	12%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $615 in October?	Poly	8%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $450 in October?	Poly	6%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $435 in October?	Poly	5%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $420 in October?	Poly	3%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $405 in October?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

90%

Top Probability

$16.58K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in October 2026?

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in October 2026?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 1, 2026 (21 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in October 2026?

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $15.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $127.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.12)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $600 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $467
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $585 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $465 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $720
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $450 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $301
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $435 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $790
  DATA: [Yes: 4.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $420 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $150
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $405 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $505
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $615 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $376
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 80.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in October 2026?

Volume$16.58K

Markets15

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POLYMARKET

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 89.5¢No 10.5¢

POLYMARKETFinance

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will

POLYMARKET

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 in October?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 80.0¢No 20.0¢

POLYMARKETFinance

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 in October?

POLYMARKET

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in October?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 62.0¢No 38.0¢

POLYMARKETFinance

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in October?

POLYMARKET

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 54.5¢No 45.5¢

POLYMARKETFinance

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?

POLYMARKET

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 40.0¢No 60.0¢

POLYMARKETFinance

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?

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Next Market Closes

Calculating time remaining…

Nov 01, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

30¢

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What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in October 2026?

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in October 2026?

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Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in October 2026?

Markets (15)

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 in October?

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 in October?

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in October?

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in October?

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?

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Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in October 2026?

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 in October?

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 in October?

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in October?

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in October?

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in October?

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Discussion

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