$52.07K
1
22
$52.07K
1
22
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
Los Angeles R at Chicago If the play by play or color commentator, s, says X / Y as part of Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game, then the market resolves to Yes. Video of the Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game will be used according
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market topic focuses on specific commentary that will be uttered by the announcers during the New York Knicks at Golden State Warriors professional basketball game originally scheduled for January 15, 2026. The market resolves to 'Yes' if the play-by-play or color commentator(s) say a predetermined phrase, 'X', during the live broadcast of that specific contest. Resolution will primarily rely on video footage of the game, with transcripts serving as a secondary verification tool if Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus. This type of market falls under the 'Mentions' category, which tracks the occurrence of specific spoken words or phrases within a defined event. Interest stems from the unique intersection of sports broadcasting, live event unpredictability, and predictive analytics. Enthusiasts and bettors analyze announcing tendencies, team narratives, and game contexts to forecast what storylines commentators might emphasize. The specific matchup between the New York Knicks and Golden State Warriors is historically significant, often featuring high-profile players and national television coverage, which increases the likelihood of memorable commentary and thus market activity. The precision required for resolution, based on a single spoken phrase, makes this a niche but clear-cut predictive challenge.
The rivalry between the New York Knicks and Golden State Warriors, while not a classic geographic rivalry, has been shaped by significant historical moments and player movement. A key precedent was the 2019-2020 season when the Warriors, after five consecutive NBA Finals appearances, played their first season at the Chase Center in San Francisco. That season featured a notable game where the Knicks, then struggling, defeated the Warriors, prompting extensive commentary on the franchises' divergent paths. The 1975 NBA Finals, where the Warriors swept the Washington Bullets, featured Rick Barry, a player who later had a brief stint with the Knicks, linking the franchises' histories. More recently, the trade of former Warrior David Lee to the Knicks in 2010 and the Warriors' signing of former Knick Chris Mullin in the 1990s create historical threads often referenced by broadcasters. The scheduling of this game for January 15 places it around the Martin Luther King Jr. Day holiday, a date often used by the NBA to showcase marquee matchups with social justice commentary, a factor that can influence announcer dialogue. Past prediction markets on Kalshi and similar platforms have successfully resolved on specific commentator phrases, such as 'triple-double' or 'from downtown,' establishing a precedent for this market type.
This market matters as a case study in the quantification of cultural and narrative elements within live sports. It moves beyond predicting game outcomes to forecasting the spoken narrative itself, reflecting how media shapes the consumption of sports. Accurate predictions require an understanding of sports journalism, broadcaster personalities, and prevailing team storylines, blending analytics with media studies. For the prediction market ecosystem, success in 'Mentions' markets validates the platform's ability to handle nuanced, non-numeric resolutions based on audio-visual evidence, expanding the scope of tradable events beyond elections or financial indices. This has downstream consequences for media monitoring and sponsorship analytics, as it demonstrates a method for tracking the frequency and context of specific branded phrases or narratives during live broadcasts. It also engages a different segment of users, including media professionals and superfans, who have specialized knowledge of announcing teams and their rhetorical habits.
As of late 2024, the NBA schedule for the 2025-26 season, which includes the game on January 15, 2026, has not been released. The announcement typically occurs in mid-August 2025. The specific national and local broadcasting assignments for that date will be confirmed closer to the season's start. Both the Knicks and Warriors are projected to be playoff contenders, based on their 2023-24 performances, which will likely ensure this game retains its marquee status. The official commentator teams for ESPN/ABC and the local networks for the 2025-26 season are also not yet finalized, though continuity in lead roles is expected.
Prediction markets like this one are typically contingent on the event occurring as scheduled. If the game is officially postponed, the market would likely be voided or resolved based on the rescheduled date, depending on the platform's specific rules outlined in the market terms.
No, the market description specifies commentary said 'as part of' the game. This is universally interpreted as the live broadcast from tip-off to the final buzzer, excluding pre-game, halftime, and post-game segments unless otherwise specified.
Resolution depends on the primary video source specified. For a national game, it would likely be the ESPN/ABC feed. The market terms should define the official source; consensus is reached using that specific broadcast's audio.
The exact phrase 'X' is defined in the market's final terms before trading begins. It must be uttered verbatim by a commentator. Slight variations or paraphrasing would not trigger a 'Yes' resolution.
No, the description explicitly limits resolution to the 'play by play or color commentator(s).' This excludes interviews with coaches, players, or reports from sideline journalists.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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22 markets tracked
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| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (Safety) | Kalshi | 98% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (Wind / Windy) | Kalshi | 96% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (Soldier) | Kalshi | 96% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (MVP) | Kalshi | 96% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler) | Kalshi | 95% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (Next Gen Stat) | Kalshi | 92% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (Comeback / Come Back) | Kalshi | 90% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (Record) | Kalshi | 88% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (Trade / Traded) | Kalshi | 75% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (Ditka / Payton) | Kalshi | 64% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (Fine / Fines / Fined) | Kalshi | 56% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (Contract) | Kalshi | 55% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (Schedule) | Kalshi | 53% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (No Good) | Kalshi | 47% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (Turf) | Kalshi | 41% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (What a Catch) | Kalshi | 35% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (Tush Push) | Kalshi | 27% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (Deep Dish) | Kalshi | 25% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (Hunt / Hunting) | Kalshi | 23% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (Roughing the Passer) | Kalshi | 21% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (Late Hit) | Kalshi | 20% |
What will the announcers say during Los Angeles R at Chicago professional football divisional round game? (One Handed) | Kalshi | 18% |
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