Name: How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?
End: 2026-03-25T22:20:21.318Z

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How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO? | PredictPedia

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10 markets tracked

Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?	Poly	50%
Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?	Poly	50%
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?	Poly	32%
Will SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO?	Poly	13%
Will SpaceX raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?	Poly	10%
Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?	Poly	9%
Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?	Poly	9%
Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Poly	6%
Will SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?	Poly	4%
Will SpaceX raise between $110B and $120B in its IPO?	Poly	4%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 25, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.

The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.

Secondary sales of existing shares by current sh

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.

The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final pr"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $137.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.0K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 70.29)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $33.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $15.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $10.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $7.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $14.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $7.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $9.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.1% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will SpaceX raise between $110B and $120B in its IPO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $9.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will SpaceX raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $5.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $24.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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19¢

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How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

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Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?

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Events (1)

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

Markets (10)

Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?

Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?

Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?

Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?

Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?

Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?

Will SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO?

Will SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO?

Will SpaceX raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?

Will SpaceX raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?

Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?

Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?

Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?

Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?

Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?

Will SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO?

Will SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO?

Will SpaceX raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?

Will SpaceX raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?

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