Market snapshot: Nov 5, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US Treasury cash balance on November 6, 2026

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US Treasury cash balance on November 6, 2026

Vol

K 0 contracts

Events

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Current odds

Snapshot from Nov 5, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

As of Nov 5, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above $900 billion at 91.5%.

Kalshi

Above $900 billion91.5%
Above $975 billion50%
Above $950 billion50%
Above $925 billion50%
Above $875 billion50%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

11 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $900 billion?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $900 billion?	Kalshi	91.5%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $975 billion?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $950 billion?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $925 billion?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $875 billion?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $850 billion?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $1,100 billion?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $1,075 billion?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $1,050 billion?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $1,025 billion?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $1,000 billion?	Kalshi	9.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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AI Analysis

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K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 5, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

November 6, 2026 If the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 is above X billion, then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses the “Treasury General Account, TGA, Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for November 6, 2026. The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied. The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. X publication delay does not change the observation date. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: US Treasury cash balance on November 6, 2026
Source snapshot: Nov 5, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 11 of 11 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $975 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV09-T975; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov09
Observed: Nov 5, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 is above $975 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for November 6, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $950 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV09-T950; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov09
Observed: Nov 5, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 is above $950 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for November 6, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $925 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV09-T925; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov09
Observed: Nov 5, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 is above $925 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for November 6, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $900 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV09-T900; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov09
Observed: Nov 5, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 91.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 8.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 is above $900 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for November 6, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $875 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV09-T875; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov09
Observed: Nov 5, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 is above $875 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for November 6, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $850 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV09-T850; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov09
Observed: Nov 5, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 is above $850 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for November 6, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $1,100 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV09-T1100; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov09
Observed: Nov 5, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 is above $1,100 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for November 6, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $1,075 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV09-T1075; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov09
Observed: Nov 5, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 is above $1,075 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for November 6, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $1,050 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV09-T1050; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov09
Observed: Nov 5, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 is above $1,050 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for November 6, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $1,025 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV09-T1025; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov09
Observed: Nov 5, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 is above $1,025 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for November 6, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 be above $1,000 billion?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTGAW-26NOV09-T1000; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtgaw-26nov09
Observed: Nov 5, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 9.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Treasury General Account closing balance for November 6, 2026 is above $1,000 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for November 6, 2026.

The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied.

The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics