Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIMentions

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call?

Total Volume

$502.59

Events

Markets

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What will CarMax say during their next earnings call?

Vol

$502.59

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $502.59

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $502.59

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Shift into GEAR)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Shift into GEAR)	Kalshi	88%
What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Conversion)	Kalshi	88%
What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Leverage)	Kalshi	88%
What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Logistics)	Kalshi	82%
What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Reconditioning (3+ times))	Kalshi	80%
What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Inventory (3+ times))	Kalshi	80%
What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Affordability)	Kalshi	75%
What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (GPU)	Kalshi	73%
What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Interest Rate)	Kalshi	72%
What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Loan Loss)	Kalshi	65%
What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (MaxCare / Max Care)	Kalshi	45%
What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Acquisition Marketing)	Kalshi	42%
What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Buyback / Buy Back)	Kalshi	40%
What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (AI Agent)	Kalshi	34%
What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Sierra)	Kalshi	30%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

88%

Top Probability

$502.59

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Dec 17, 2026 If X is said by any CarMax representative, including the operator of the call, during the next CarMax live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the CarMax earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the CarMax earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will CarMax say during their next earnings call?
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Dec 17, 2026

If X is said by any CarMax representative, including the operator of the call, during the next CarMax live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the CarMax earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the CarMax earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Sierra is said by any CarMax representative (including the operator of the call) during the next CarMax live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved
Video of the CarMax earnings call.
If a consensus by Kalshi "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $503
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Sierra)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Reconditioning (3+ times))
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 80.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (MaxCare / Max Care)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Logistics)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Loan Loss)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $177
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Leverage)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Inventory (3+ times))
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 80.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Interest Rate)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 72.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (GPU)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $147
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Shift into GEAR)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $70
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Conversion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $71
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Buyback / Buy Back)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (AI Agent)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $14
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Affordability)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 75.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Acquisition Marketing)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIMentions

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call?

Volume$502.59

Markets15

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KALSHI

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Shift into GEAR)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.0¢No 12.0¢

KALSHICompanies

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Shift into GEAR)

If Shift into GEAR is said by any CarMax representative (including the operator of the call) during the next CarMax live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the CarMax earnings call. If a consensus b

KALSHI

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Conversion)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.0¢No 12.0¢

KALSHICompanies

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Conversion)

If Conversion is said by any CarMax representative (including the operator of the call) during the next CarMax live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the CarMax earnings call. If a consensus by Kal

KALSHI

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Leverage)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢

KALSHICompanies

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Leverage)

If Leverage is said by any CarMax representative (including the operator of the call) during the next CarMax live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the CarMax earnings call. If a consensus by Kalsh

KALSHI

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Logistics)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.0¢No 18.0¢

KALSHICompanies

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Logistics)

If Logistics is said by any CarMax representative (including the operator of the call) during the next CarMax live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the CarMax earnings call. If a consensus by Kals

KALSHI

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Reconditioning (3+ times))

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.0¢No 20.0¢

KALSHICompanies

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Reconditioning (3+ times))

If Reconditioning (3+ times) is said by any CarMax representative (including the operator of the call) during the next CarMax live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the CarMax earnings call. If a c

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What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Shift into GEAR)

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Events (1)

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call?

Markets (15)

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Shift into GEAR)

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Shift into GEAR)

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Conversion)

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Conversion)

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Leverage)

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Leverage)

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Logistics)

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Logistics)

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Reconditioning (3+ times))

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Reconditioning (3+ times))

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What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Shift into GEAR)

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What will CarMax say during their next earnings call?

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Shift into GEAR)

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Shift into GEAR)

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Conversion)

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Conversion)

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Leverage)

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Leverage)

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Logistics)

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Logistics)

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Reconditioning (3+ times))

What will CarMax say during their next earnings call? (Reconditioning (3+ times))

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