Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

Total Volume

$2.51K

Events

Markets

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Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

Vol

$2.51K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.51K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.51K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will Paul Giamatti be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Paul Giamatti be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	86%
Will Sam Rockwell be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	85%
Will John Leguizamo be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	80%
Will Edward Norton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	80%
Will Guitarricadelafuente be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	43%
Will John Goodman be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	40%
Will Colman Domingo be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	37%
Will Robert Pattinson be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	28%
Will Guy Pearce be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	25%
Will Skylar Gisondo be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	15%
Will Jeremy Strong be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	15%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

86%

Top Probability

$2.51K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

84th Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture If X is on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 84th Golden Globe Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the pr

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 84th Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

If X is on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 84th Golden Globe Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the pr

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Skylar Gisondo is on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated,"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Skylar Gisondo be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Sam Rockwell be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 85.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Robert Pattinson be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $405
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Paul Giamatti be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jeremy Strong be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $190
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will John Leguizamo be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 80.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will John Goodman be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Guitarricadelafuente be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Guy Pearce be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Edward Norton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 80.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Colman Domingo be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $703
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

Volume$2.51K

Markets11

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KALSHI

Will Paul Giamatti be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.0¢No 14.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Paul Giamatti be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Paul Giamatti is on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated,

KALSHI

Will Sam Rockwell be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.0¢No 15.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Sam Rockwell be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Sam Rockwell is on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, a

KALSHI

Will John Leguizamo be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.0¢No 20.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will John Leguizamo be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If John Leguizamo is on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated,

KALSHI

Will Edward Norton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.0¢No 20.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Edward Norton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Edward Norton is on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated,

KALSHI

Will Guitarricadelafuente be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 43.0¢No 57.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Guitarricadelafuente be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Guitarricadelafuente is on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affil

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48¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/oxNRf2" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture"></iframe>

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Will Paul Giamatti be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

Markets (11)

Will Paul Giamatti be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Paul Giamatti be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Sam Rockwell be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Sam Rockwell be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will John Leguizamo be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will John Leguizamo be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Edward Norton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Edward Norton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Guitarricadelafuente be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Guitarricadelafuente be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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Will Paul Giamatti be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

Will Paul Giamatti be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Paul Giamatti be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Sam Rockwell be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Sam Rockwell be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will John Leguizamo be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will John Leguizamo be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Edward Norton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Edward Norton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Guitarricadelafuente be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Guitarricadelafuente be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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