Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

When will Mike Norvell leave Florida St.?

Total Volume

$2.69K

Events

Markets

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When will Mike Norvell leave Florida St.?

Vol

$2.69K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.69K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.69K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2028

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2028	Kalshi	82%
Mike Norvell out before Feb 1, 2027	Kalshi	80%
Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2027	Kalshi	70%
Mike Norvell out before Dec 1, 2026	Kalshi	65%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

82%

Top Probability

$2.69K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Mike Norvell - Florida St. If the head coach of the Florida St. college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the Florida St. college football team must be fired, resign, or otherwise leave their position as head coach; or has announced that they will do so before X 1, Y Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the N

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Mike Norvell leave Florida St.?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Mike Norvell - Florida St.

If the head coach of the Florida St. college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the Florida St. college football team must be fired, resign, or otherwise leave their position as head coach; or has announced that they will do so before X 1, Y Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the N

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the head coach of the Florida St. college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the Florida St. college football team must be fired, resign, or otherwise l"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Mike Norvell out before Dec 1, 2026
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $579
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Mike Norvell out before Feb 1, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $695
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2028
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $996
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2027
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $424
  DATA: [Yes: 70.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

When will Mike Norvell leave Florida St.?

Volume$2.69K

Markets4

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KALSHI

Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2028

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.0¢No 18.0¢

KALSHIOther

Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2028

If the head coach of the Florida St. college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the Florida St. college football team must be fired, resign, or otherwise l

KALSHI

Mike Norvell out before Feb 1, 2027

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 79.5¢No 20.5¢

KALSHIOther

Mike Norvell out before Feb 1, 2027

If the head coach of the Florida St. college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the Florida St. college football team must be fired, resign, or otherwise l

KALSHI

Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2027

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.0¢No 30.0¢

KALSHIOther

Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2027

If the head coach of the Florida St. college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the Florida St. college football team must be fired, resign, or otherwise l

KALSHI

Mike Norvell out before Dec 1, 2026

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 65.0¢No 35.0¢

KALSHIOther

Mike Norvell out before Dec 1, 2026

If the head coach of the Florida St. college football team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, the head coach of the Florida St. college football team must be fired, resign, or otherwise l

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74¢

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When will Mike Norvell leave Florida St.?

When will Mike Norvell leave Florida St.?

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Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2028

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Events (1)

When will Mike Norvell leave Florida St.?

Markets (4)

Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2028

Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2028

Mike Norvell out before Feb 1, 2027

Mike Norvell out before Feb 1, 2027

Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2027

Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2027

Mike Norvell out before Dec 1, 2026

Mike Norvell out before Dec 1, 2026

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Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2028

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When will Mike Norvell leave Florida St.?

Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2028

Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2028

Mike Norvell out before Feb 1, 2027

Mike Norvell out before Feb 1, 2027

Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2027

Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2027

Mike Norvell out before Dec 1, 2026

Mike Norvell out before Dec 1, 2026

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