This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Ted Cruz # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Name: Ted Cruz # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?
End: 2026-05-08T16:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$5.67K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Ted Cruz # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Vol

$5.67K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $5.67K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.67K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Poly	43%
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Poly	42%
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Poly	42%
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Poly	41%
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Poly	41%
Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Poly	41%
Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Poly	26%
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Poly	20%
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Poly	4%
Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

43%

Top Probability

$5.67K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution s

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Ted Cruz # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 8, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution s

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.3K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.51)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $182
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $75
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $45
  DATA: [Yes: 41.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $45
  DATA: [Yes: 42.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.7% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $83
  DATA: [Yes: 41.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.2% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $178
  DATA: [Yes: 40.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $130
  DATA: [Yes: 20.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $128
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics