GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

Name: Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
End: 2028-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$53.63K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

Vol

$53.63K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $53.63K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $53.63K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Poly	40%
Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Poly	24%
Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Poly	14%
Will Discord’s market cap be between $14B and $17B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Poly	7%
Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Poly	6%
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Poly	5%
Will Discord’s market cap be between $5B and $8B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Poly	5%
Will Discord’s market cap be $20B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Poly	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

40%

Top Probability

$53.63K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the firs

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2028 (483 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.

It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the firs

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s o"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $53.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $23.7K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.26)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $14.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Discord’s market cap be between $5B and $8B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $12.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $5.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.4% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Discord’s market cap be between $14B and $17B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Discord’s market cap be $20B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $4.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.2% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $5.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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