BNB Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-29T12:00:06.991Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract covers a five-minute window, "BNB Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET." According to the rules, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a spot price chart, or with a similar contract on another platform, should check that the reference source and averaging method match. The listed end time is 2026-10-30T05:05:00.000Z [1]. That date appears in the contract rules as the close time, not as an announced event.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot records Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are prices from a single observation, taken at 2026-10-29T12:00:06.991Z, and were retrieved at 2026-10-29T14:58:32.718Z [1]. Because the snapshot is about three hours older than the retrieval time, it should not be read as a live quote. The two prices sum to 1.00 in this record, and the market is described as active in the provider status [1].
The sample covers one market from one event. The coverage record lists one total market and one included market, with no partial sample [1]. Prices are not executable quotes, and this record does not include volume or depth, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many traders hold each position. The small gap between the two prices reflects only the values in this snapshot.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stand where they do, and it contains no news or other context about BNB. It also does not show how the price has changed before or after the observation, or how the TWAP will compare with the starting price during the window. Because the contract is a short-window comparison, the outcome depends on data after the observation time, which this record does not include. Readers should treat the 0.505 and 0.495 values as a single past reading and check the provider page for any later data.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-29T12:00:06.991Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 29, 2026 UTCOverview
This Polymarket contract is a short-window crypto price market on BNB against USD. Its title names a five-minute window on October 30, 2026, from 1:00 AM to 1:05 AM Eastern Time. The rules say the market resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over that window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the window. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1]. The stated resolution source is Chainlink's BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules specify that the market concerns that data stream and not other sources or spot markets [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-30T05:05:00Z, and the provider status recorded for the event is active [1]. A listed end time is a contract closing time, not a confirmed resolution, and the saved record does not show how the market was settled. The contract therefore asks a directional question about an average rather than a single print. Because the comparison uses the TWAP across the window against the opening level, a move that occurs late in the window can affect the result differently than a move at the start. The rules do not describe any rounding or tie treatment beyond the greater than or equal to comparison [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average BNB/USD price from the specified Chainlink data stream over the five-minute window finishes at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. It does not measure the spot price at the close, the highest or lowest price in the window, or prices on other exchanges, because the rules exclude other sources and spot markets [1]. Anyone reading the contract should check the Chainlink stream definition, since the outcome depends on that feed rather than on the general market price of BNB. The saved snapshot shows Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 at the observation time of 2026-10-29T12:00:06Z [1]. These are recorded prices from that earlier snapshot, not current quotes, not executable prices, and not verified probabilities. The retrieval time of 2026-10-29T14:58:32Z reflects when the record was collected, not when the market will close. The saved event includes one market, and all saved markets for this event are included, so the sample covers the whole saved event rather than a partial list [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-29 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this market resolve Up?
It resolves Up if the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP over the 1:00 AM to 1:05 AM ET window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window [1].
Does the normal BNB spot price decide the outcome?
No. The rules state that the market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for BNB/USD, not any other sources or spot markets [1].
What does the 0.505 and 0.495 price mean?
These are the Up and Down prices recorded in a snapshot taken at 2026-10-29T12:00:06Z [1]. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they do not show the current price.
When does the market end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-30T05:05:00Z [1]. This is the contract closing time from the rules, and the saved record does not confirm how or whether it has resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.