Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner

Name: Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner
End: 2026-11-03T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$9.00K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner

Vol

$9.00K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $9.00K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.00K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Poly	54%
Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Poly	40%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

54%

Top Probability

$9.00K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This marke

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 3, 2026 (23 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This marke

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily rank"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $57.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.16)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics