Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?

Total Volume

$102.87K

Events

Markets

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Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?

Vol

$102.87K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $102.87K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $102.87K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

25 markets tracked

Will SNSD finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

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Single-Platform Markets(25)

Market	Platform	Price
Will SNSD finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	92%
Will NiP finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	27%
Will SDA finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	16%
Will HDZ coalition finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	16%
Will PSS finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	13%
Will ZPR finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	11%
Will Volja Naroda finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	11%
Will Ujedinjena Srpska finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	11%
Will SBiH finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	11%
Will SBB finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	11%
Will Republikanci finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	11%
Will NS finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	11%
Will Narodni front finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	11%
Will NES/PDA/Naprijed finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	11%
Will Laburisti finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	11%
Will Hrvatska petorka finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	11%
Will DNS-NPS finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	11%
Will BHI finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	11%
Will SDP finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	1%
Will DF/GS finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	1%
Will SPS finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	1%
Will SDS finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	1%
Will SP-DEMOS finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Crvene linije finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	1%
Will BH Zeleni finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

92%

Top Probability

$102.87K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Oct 4, 2026 If X Y Z - [ finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority’s final seat allocation order. Total seats in the 42-member House of Representatives count: 28 Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina seats and 14 Republika Srpska seats, including consti

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 4, 2026

If X Y Z - [ finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority’s final seat allocation order. Total seats in the 42-member House of Representatives count: 28 Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina seats and 14 Republika Srpska seats, including consti

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Za Pravdu i Red - Lista Nebojše Vukanovića finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional repr"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $102.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will ZPR finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Volja Naroda finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Ujedinjena Srpska finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $7.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will SPS finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will SNSD finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $10.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will SDS finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will SDP finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will SDA finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will SBiH finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will SBB finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Republikanci finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will PSS finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will NS finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will NiP finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Narodni front finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will NES/PDA/Naprijed finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Laburisti finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $8.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will HDZ coalition finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $15.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Hrvatska petorka finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will DNS-NPS finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will DF/GS finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will SP-DEMOS finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Crvene linije finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will BH Zeleni finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will BHI finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 4, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?

Volume$102.87K

Markets25

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KALSHI

Will SNSD finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will SNSD finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

If Savez nezavisnih socijaldemokrata - SNSD - Milorad Dodik finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For pro

KALSHI

Will NiP finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 27.0¢No 73.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will NiP finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

If Narod i Pravda, SDBiH finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank foll

KALSHI

Will SDA finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.0¢No 84.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will SDA finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

If SDA - Stranka demokratske akcije finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation

KALSHI

Will HDZ coalition finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will HDZ coalition finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

If HDZ BiH, HSP BiH, HKDU, HSP AS, HDU, HSP HB, HRAST finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportio

KALSHI

Will PSS finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will PSS finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

If Draško Stanivuković - Pokret Sigurna Srpska (PSS, PDP, NPSP..) finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. F

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/p9bYOf" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?"></iframe>

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Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?

Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?

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Will SNSD finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

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Events (1)

Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?

Markets (25)

Will SNSD finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

Will SNSD finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

Will NiP finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

Will NiP finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

Will SDA finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

Will SDA finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

Will HDZ coalition finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

Will HDZ coalition finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

Will PSS finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

Will PSS finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

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Will SNSD finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?

Will SNSD finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

Will SNSD finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

Will NiP finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

Will NiP finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

Will SDA finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

Will SDA finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

Will HDZ coalition finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

Will HDZ coalition finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

Will PSS finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

Will PSS finish 2nd in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election?

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