Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 8:51 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Santa Cruz 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Thiago Cigarran

Name: Santa Cruz 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Thiago Cigarran
End: 2026-10-19T19:10:00.000Z

Total Volume

$19.41K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Santa Cruz 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Thiago Cigarran

Vol

$19.41K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $19.41K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $19.41K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Santa Cruz 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Thiago Cigarran

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Santa Cruz 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Thiago Cigarran	Poly	62%
Santa Cruz 2, Bolivia, Qualifying: Completed Match: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Thiago Cigarran	Poly	53%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

62%

Top Probability

$19.41K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez and Thiago Cigarran in the Santa Cruz 2, Bolivia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez' if Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez advances against Thiago Cigarran. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Cigarran' if Thiago Cigarran advances against Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has n

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Santa Cruz 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Thiago Cigarran
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (7 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez and Thiago Cigarran in the Santa Cruz 2, Bolivia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:10PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez' if Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez advances against Thiago Cigarran.

This market will resolve to 'Thiago Cigarran' if Thiago Cigarran advances against Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has n

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez and Thiago Cigarran in the Santa Cruz 2, Bolivia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:10PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez' if Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez advances against Thiago"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $19.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $126.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.15)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Santa Cruz 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Thiago Cigarran
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $18.8K
  DATA: [Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [Thiago Cigarran: 38.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Santa Cruz 2, Bolivia, Qualifying: Completed Match: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Thiago Cigarran
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $660
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports