Name: Arsenal FC vs Chelsea FC
End: 2026-02-03T20:00:00.000Z

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Arsenal FC vs Chelsea FC | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?	Poly	55%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	Poly	26%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?	Poly	23%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Arsenal FC vs Chelsea FC
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 3, 2026 (19 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game, scheduled for Tuesday, February 3, 2026 between Arsenal FC and Chelsea FC.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for Tuesday, February 3, 2026
If Arsenal FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-u"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $91
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.06)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 3, 2026): Vol $85
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 3, 2026): Vol $6
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

18d 7h remaining

Feb 03, 2026 8:00 PM

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Average Yes Price

34¢

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Arsenal FC vs Chelsea FC

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Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?

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Events (1)

Arsenal FC vs Chelsea FC

Markets (3)

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?

Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?

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Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?

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Arsenal FC vs Chelsea FC

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?

Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?

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