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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

How many coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?

Name: How many coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
End: 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$63.22K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

How many coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?

Vol

$63.22K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $63.22K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $63.22K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?	Poly	72%
Over 8 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?	Poly	49%
Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?	Poly	46%
Over 10 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?	Poly	41%
Over 12 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?	Poly	23%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

72%

Top Probability

$63.22K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, the number of coins launched in 2026 that appear in the top 100 by market capitalization on CoinGecko is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is CoinGecko’s Top 100 market cap rankings (https://www.coingecko.com/). Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, July 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (171 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, the number of coins launched in 2026 that appear in the top 100 by market capitalization on CoinGecko is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is CoinGecko’s Top 100 market cap rankings (https://www.coingecko.com/).

Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, the number of coins launched in 2026 that appear in the top 100 by market capitalization on CoinGecko is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is CoinGecko’"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $63.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.9K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 32.89)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Over 8 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $34.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Over 12 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $26.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 71.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Over 10 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCrypto