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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Name: Which company has second best AI model end of June?
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$373.68K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Vol

$373.68K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $373.68K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $373.68K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	52%
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	25%
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	12%
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	3%
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Microsoft have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Amazon have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	0%
Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

52%

Top Probability

$373.68K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at th

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, October 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which company has second best AI model end of June?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at th

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Te"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $373.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $71.4K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.23)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $11.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $13.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.6% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $32.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $5.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $33.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $7.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $247.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.6% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Microsoft have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Amazon have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech