Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?

Total Volume

$78.18K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?

Vol

$78.18K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $78.18K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $78.18K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

24 markets tracked

Will Ram Ben-Barak be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(24)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ram Ben-Barak be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	38%
Will Talya Lankri be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	38%
Will Yoram Cohen be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	37%
Will Eli Cohen be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	37%
Will Yoaz Hendel be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	35%
Will Itamar Ben-Gvir be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	34%
Will Matan Kahana be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	34%
Will Bezalel Smotrich be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	33%
Will Ofer Winter be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	32%
Will Yitzhak Wasserlauf be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	18%
Will Yair Golan be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Haim Katz be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Hamad Amar be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Gideon Sa'ar be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Elazar Stern be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Chili Tropper be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Amir Ohana be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Amichai Eliyahu be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Avi Dichter be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Yoav Segalovitz be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Yossi Cohen be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Tally Gotliv be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Meirav Ben-Ari be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	1%
Will Limor Son Har-Melech be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

38%

Top Probability

$78.18K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Oct 27, 2027 If X formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of National Security in the government formed after the 2026 Israeli legislative election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent reappointed to the post cou

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Oct 27, 2027

If X formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of National Security in the government formed after the 2026 Israeli legislative election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent reappointed to the post cou

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Yitzhak Wasserlauf formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of Nat"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $78.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yitzhak Wasserlauf be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Yoav Segalovitz be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $8.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Yoaz Hendel be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Yair Golan be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Yossi Cohen be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $5.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Yoram Cohen be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $498
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Talya Lankri be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Tally Gotliv be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Ram Ben-Barak be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Ofer Winter be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Matan Kahana be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Meirav Ben-Ari be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $6.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Limor Son Har-Melech be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Itamar Ben-Gvir be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Haim Katz be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Hamad Amar be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $6.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Gideon Sa'ar be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Elazar Stern be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Eli Cohen be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Chili Tropper be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Bezalel Smotrich be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Amir Ohana be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Amichai Eliyahu be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Avi Dichter be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $5.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?

Volume$78.18K

Markets24

24 of 24

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Ram Ben-Barak be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.0¢No 62.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Ram Ben-Barak be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

If Ram Ben-Barak formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of National

KALSHI

Will Talya Lankri be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Talya Lankri be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

If Talya Lankri formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of National

KALSHI

Will Yoram Cohen be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.0¢No 63.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Yoram Cohen be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

If Yoram Cohen formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of National S

KALSHI

Will Eli Cohen be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Eli Cohen be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

If Eli Cohen formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of National Sec

KALSHI

Will Yoaz Hendel be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 35.0¢No 65.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Yoaz Hendel be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

If Yoaz Hendel formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of National S

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

14¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/pMPr8X" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?

Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Ram Ben-Barak be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?

Markets (24)

Will Ram Ben-Barak be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Ram Ben-Barak be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Talya Lankri be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Talya Lankri be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yoram Cohen be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yoram Cohen be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Eli Cohen be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Eli Cohen be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yoaz Hendel be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yoaz Hendel be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Ram Ben-Barak be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?

Will Ram Ben-Barak be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Ram Ben-Barak be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Talya Lankri be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Talya Lankri be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yoram Cohen be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yoram Cohen be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Eli Cohen be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Eli Cohen be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yoaz Hendel be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yoaz Hendel be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget