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UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)

Name: UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)
End: 2026-05-10T03:59:59.999Z

Total Volume

$2.77K

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Markets

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UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)

Vol

$2.77K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.77K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.77K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Poly	63%
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	50%
Will Yaroslav Amosov win by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will Joel Álvarez win by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	50%
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

63%

Top Probability

$2.77K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yaroslav Amosov" if Yaroslav Amosov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joel Álvarez at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Joel Álvarez" if Joel Álvarez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 10, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yaroslav Amosov" if Yaroslav Amosov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joel Álvarez at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026.

It will resolve to "Joel Álvarez" if Joel Álvarez is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yaroslav Amosov" if Yaroslav Amosov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joel Álvarez at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026.

It will resolve to "Joel Álvarez" if Joel Álvarez is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is d"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $8.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.33)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yaroslav Amosov: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [Joel Álvarez: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Yaroslav Amosov win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Joel Álvarez win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)

Volume$2.77K

Markets9

9 of 9

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POLYMARKET

Fight to Go the Distance?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Fight to Go the Distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Yaroslav Amosov and Joel Álvarez at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided

POLYMARKET

Will Yaroslav Amosov win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Yaroslav Amosov win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yaroslav Amosov defeats Joel Álvarez at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualificat

POLYMARKET

Will Joel Álvarez win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Joel Álvarez win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joel Álvarez defeats Yaroslav Amosov at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualificat

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by submission?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight be won by submission?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Yaroslav Amosov and Joel Álvarez at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will reso

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Yaroslav Amosov and Joel Álvarez at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw

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Average Yes Price

51¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/pORbAs" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)"></iframe>

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UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)

UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)

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UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)

Markets (9)

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will Yaroslav Amosov win by KO or TKO?

Will Yaroslav Amosov win by KO or TKO?

Will Joel Álvarez win by KO or TKO?

Will Joel Álvarez win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

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UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will Yaroslav Amosov win by KO or TKO?

Will Yaroslav Amosov win by KO or TKO?

Will Joel Álvarez win by KO or TKO?

Will Joel Álvarez win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

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