Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US SPR level for the week ending October 9, 2026

Total Volume

$29.26K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

US SPR level for the week ending October 9, 2026

Vol

$29.26K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $29.26K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $29.26K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 277M?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 277M?	Kalshi	100%
Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 276M?	Kalshi	99%
Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 280M?	Kalshi	98%
Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 279M?	Kalshi	98%
Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 278M?	Kalshi	98%
Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 281M?	Kalshi	95%
Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 282M?	Kalshi	68%
Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 283M?	Kalshi	5%
Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 284M?	Kalshi	4%
Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 287M?	Kalshi	1%
Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 286M?	Kalshi	1%
Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 285M?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$29.26K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

the week ending October 9, 2026 If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve, SPR, ” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above X million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the relevant week, released on Wednesday morning following the stated week-ending date, using the value on Table 1 of the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet, row “Strategic Petroleum Reserve, SPR, ”, under the Current Wee

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US SPR level for the week ending October 9, 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** the week ending October 9, 2026

If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve, SPR, ” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above X million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the relevant week, released on Wednesday morning following the stated week-ending date, using the value on Table 1 of the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet, row “Strategic Petroleum Reserve, SPR, ”, under the Current Wee

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above 287 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the relevant week, released on"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $29.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 287M?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $8.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 286M?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 285M?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 284M?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 283M?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 282M?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $299
  DATA: [Yes: 68.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 281M?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 280M?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $129
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 279M?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $129
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 278M?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 277M?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 276M?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US SPR level for the week ending October 9, 2026

Volume$29.26K

Markets12

12 of 12

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KALSHI

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 277M?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 277M?

If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above 277 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the relevant week, released on

KALSHI

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 276M?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 276M?

If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above 276 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the relevant week, released on

KALSHI

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 280M?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 280M?

If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above 280 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the relevant week, released on

KALSHI

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 279M?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 279M?

If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above 279 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the relevant week, released on

KALSHI

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 278M?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 278M?

If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above 278 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the relevant week, released on

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55¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/pOwWt_" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="US SPR level for the week ending October 9, 2026"></iframe>

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US SPR level for the week ending October 9, 2026

US SPR level for the week ending October 9, 2026

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Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 277M?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

US SPR level for the week ending October 9, 2026

Markets (12)

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 277M?

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 277M?

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 276M?

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 276M?

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 280M?

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 280M?

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 279M?

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 279M?

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 278M?

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 278M?

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Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 277M?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US SPR level for the week ending October 9, 2026

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 277M?

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 277M?

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 276M?

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 276M?

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 280M?

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 280M?

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 279M?

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 279M?

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 278M?

Will US Strategic Petroleum Reserve for the week ending October 9, 2026 be above 278M?

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