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1 market tracked

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| Market | Platform | Price |
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![]() | Poly | 2% |
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This event is for the CBB game between Georgia College & State Bobcats and South Florida Bulls on November 22 at 12:00 AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction markets are pricing in a decisive victory for the South Florida Bulls. The market "Georgia College & State Bobcats vs. South Florida Bulls" is trading at just 2 cents, implying a 98% probability that the South Florida Bulls will win this college basketball game. A 98% chance suggests the market views this outcome as nearly certain, with almost no perceived risk of an upset by the Bobcats.
The extreme odds are driven by the fundamental mismatch between the two teams. The South Florida Bulls are an NCAA Division I program competing in the American Athletic Conference (AAC), while the Georgia College & State Bobcats are a Division II team from the Peach Belt Conference. The talent gap, resources, and athleticism typically favor the D-I program overwhelmingly in such exhibitions. Historically, these cross-division matchups almost always result in lopsided victories for the D-I school, which is reflected in the near-maximum confidence from traders. The very thin market volume of approximately $1,000 indicates this is seen as a foregone conclusion with little speculative interest.
Given the resolution is imminent or past the scheduled November 22 game time, the odds are effectively locked. In a theoretical scenario before the game, the only factors that could have shifted the 98% probability would have been catastrophic for South Florida, such as a last-minute announcement of multiple key player suspensions or injuries to their entire starting lineup. A game postponement could have delayed resolution, but the market rules account for that. Since the market resolves to 50-50 only upon a full cancellation, the overwhelming on-court fundamentals made any significant odds movement highly unlikely once trading began.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
$1.41K
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This prediction market topic concerns the outcome of a college basketball game scheduled for November 22, featuring the Georgia College & State Bobcats and the South Florida Bulls. The market allows participants to wager on which team will win this non-conference matchup, with specific rules governing postponements and cancellations. The game is part of the early-season schedule for both programs, offering a test for teams with different competitive profiles and aspirations for the 2024-2025 NCAA season. The Georgia College & State Bobcats represent NCAA Division II, competing in the Peach Belt Conference, while the South Florida Bulls are a Division I program from the American Athletic Conference, creating an intriguing cross-division contest. Interest in this market stems from evaluating how a top-tier Division II team fares against a mid-major Division I opponent, a scenario that often produces unpredictable results and upsets. The timing, during a holiday tournament or early-season event, adds to the stakes as teams look to build momentum and resume strength. The market's resolution rules, which account for potential schedule disruptions, provide clarity for participants in an era where game cancellations, though rare, remain a possibility due to various unforeseen circumstances.
The historical context of this matchup lies in the broader narrative of Division I versus Division II competition in college basketball. These games, often scheduled as early-season tune-ups or guarantee games, have produced memorable upsets, such as when Division II Chaminade defeated then-No. 1 Virginia in 1982. For South Florida, the game continues a tradition of scheduling regional lower-division opponents. In recent years, USF has faced teams like Florida College and Alabama State in similar early-season contests, typically using these games to integrate new players and systems. The Bulls' program history includes a notable period of success under coach Seth Greenberg in the early 1990s, followed by struggles and a recent rebuilding phase under former coach Brian Gregory. For Georgia College & State, founded in 1889, the basketball program has a history of competing in the NAIA before joining NCAA Division II. The Bobcats have made multiple NCAA Division II tournament appearances, most recently in 2022, demonstrating the program's competitive level within its division. The specific historical precedent for this game is limited, as the two programs have no recorded previous meetings, making this a novel intersection of their respective basketball histories.
This game matters for several reasons beyond the immediate result. For South Florida, a convincing win is expected and necessary to build confidence and cohesion for a team with aspirations of improving upon last season's record. A loss or unexpectedly close game, however, could signal deeper issues within the program and impact fan morale and early-season momentum. For Georgia College & State, this game represents a significant opportunity. A competitive performance, or even an upset, would be a program-defining moment, boosting recruitment, alumni engagement, and national visibility for the Division II school. Financially, such guarantee games often involve a payment from the Division I school to the visiting Division II program, providing important revenue for the smaller athletic department. For the broader ecosystem of college basketball, these cross-division games test the competitive boundaries between NCAA levels and contribute to the early-season data used by analytics services and tournament selection committees, albeit indirectly for the Division II participant.
As of the latest information, the game is scheduled for November 22 at 12:00 AM ET, which functionally means the evening of November 21 in local time. Both teams are in their preseason preparation phases, with rosters largely finalized following the transfer portal window and incoming freshman classes. South Florida is implementing systems under second-year coach Amir Abdur-Rahim, while Georgia College & State is building on its core returning players. The specific venue, likely the Yuengling Center in Tampa, Florida, is set to host. No injuries or roster suspensions affecting key players for this specific game have been reported, but such statuses are always subject to change as the date approaches. The market remains open for predictions based on available team composition and preseason analysis.
Broadcast details for early-season non-conference games are often finalized closer to the date. The game will likely be streamed on ESPN+ or a conference-specific digital platform like the American Athletic Conference's partnership with ESPN, as many USF home games are. Check the official athletics websites for both schools as the game approaches for confirmed viewing information.
While comprehensive historical records for all Division II upsets are not centralized, it is uncommon but not unprecedented. Georgia College & State's specific history against Division I opponents in the modern era is limited. A victory over South Florida would be a significant and notable achievement for the program, likely ranking among its biggest wins.
Official point spreads are set by sportsbooks much closer to game day, typically 24-48 hours in advance. Given the disparity in divisions, South Florida will be a substantial favorite. The spread will reflect not only the talent gap but also factors like USF's home-court advantage and early-season team chemistry.
The South Florida Bulls play their home games at the Yuengling Center, located on the university's campus in Tampa, Florida. The arena has a seating capacity of approximately 10,411 for basketball and has been the program's home since its opening in 1980.
Georgia College & State University competes in the Peach Belt Conference (PBC) for basketball and most other sports. The PBC is an NCAA Division II conference comprised primarily of public universities in Georgia, South Carolina, and Alabama.
According to the market rules, if the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up date scheduled, the market will resolve as a 50-50 split, meaning neither outcome is deemed the winner.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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