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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
Vol

PM $707.4K

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Events

1

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Markets

7

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 22, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 22–23 at 34%.

Polymarket

  1. 22–2334%
  2. 24–2528%
  3. <2223.5%
  4. 26–2710.5%
  5. 28–292.3%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $707.4K

Reported volume · provider units

7

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected. For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election. If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

PM $342.8K
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 16%
Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 13.7%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

PM $165.0K
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?Yes 26%
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?Yes 15.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Number of Republican governors after the midterms?

Number of Republican governors after the midterms?

K 9.7K contracts
Will the number of Republican governors be at least 21 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 85.5%
Will the number of Republican governors be at least 22 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 75.5%
Will the number of Republican governors be at least 23 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 58.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Which party will win the U.S. House?

Which party will win the U.S. House?

PM $19.70M · K 64.32M contracts

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Kalshi: Will Democrats win the House in 2026?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 91.5%Rules differK Yes 91.3%

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the House in 2026?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 8.8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

PM $7.67M · K 16.69M contracts

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Kalshi: Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 66.5%Rules differK Yes 66.5%

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 33.5%Rules differK Yes 33.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?

PM $11.3K
Will the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 75%
Will the Republican Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 15%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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