Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (October 13)

Name: What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (October 13)
End: 2026-10-13T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$6.68K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (October 13)

Vol

$6.68K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $6.68K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.68K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Poly	98%
Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Poly	2%
Will "The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Poly	1%
Will "UNABOMBER" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Poly	0%
Will "The Breadwinner" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$6.68K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (October 13)
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 13, 2026 (3 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily r"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $9.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.75)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will "UNABOMBER" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $753
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will "The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $535
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $3.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.3% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will "The Breadwinner" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $424
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture