Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka

Name: M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka
End: 2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z

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$0.00

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M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka

Vol

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

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3 markets tracked

M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Aurel Ciocanu (-1.5) vs Thomas Kostka (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Thomas Kostka (-1.5) vs Aurel Ciocanu (+1.5)	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Aurel Ciocanu and Thomas Kostka in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aurel Ciocanu' if Aurel Ciocanu advances against Thomas Kostka. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Kostka' if Thomas Kostka advances against Aurel Ciocanu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days aft

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 18, 2026 (7 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Aurel Ciocanu and Thomas Kostka in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Aurel Ciocanu' if Aurel Ciocanu advances against Thomas Kostka.

This market will resolve to 'Thomas Kostka' if Thomas Kostka advances against Aurel Ciocanu.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days aft

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Aurel Ciocanu and Thomas Kostka in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Aurel Ciocanu' if Aurel Ciocanu advances against Thomas Kostka.

This market will resolve to 'Thomas "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Aurel Ciocanu: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Thomas Kostka: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Set Handicap: Aurel Ciocanu (-1.5) vs Thomas Kostka (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Aurel Ciocanu: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Thomas Kostka: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set Handicap: Thomas Kostka (-1.5) vs Aurel Ciocanu (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Thomas Kostka: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Aurel Ciocanu: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka

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POLYMARKET

M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Aurel Ciocanu (-1.5) vs Thomas Kostka (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Aurel Ciocanu (-1.5) vs Thomas Kostka (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Aurel Ciocanu and Thomas Kostka in the M15 Heraklion, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurel Ciocanu" if Aurel Ciocanu wins by 2 or more sets than Thomas Kostka, based on the final completed score. Oth

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Thomas Kostka (-1.5) vs Aurel Ciocanu (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Thomas Kostka (-1.5) vs Aurel Ciocanu (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Kostka and Aurel Ciocanu in the M15 Heraklion, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Thomas Kostka" if Thomas Kostka wins by 2 or more sets than Aurel Ciocanu, based on the final completed score. Oth

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Oct 18, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/pavjQx" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka"></iframe>

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M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka

M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka

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M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka

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Educational Context

Events (1)

M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka

Markets (3)

M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka

M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka

Set Handicap: Aurel Ciocanu (-1.5) vs Thomas Kostka (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Aurel Ciocanu (-1.5) vs Thomas Kostka (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Thomas Kostka (-1.5) vs Aurel Ciocanu (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Thomas Kostka (-1.5) vs Aurel Ciocanu (+1.5)

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M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka

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M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka

M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka

M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka

Set Handicap: Aurel Ciocanu (-1.5) vs Thomas Kostka (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Aurel Ciocanu (-1.5) vs Thomas Kostka (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Thomas Kostka (-1.5) vs Aurel Ciocanu (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Thomas Kostka (-1.5) vs Aurel Ciocanu (+1.5)

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