Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel)

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Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel)

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Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.4%

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.4%	Kalshi	74%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 5.5%	Kalshi	64%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 8.5%	Kalshi	51%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 9.4%	Kalshi	43%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 10.5%	Kalshi	37%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 11.7%	Kalshi	27%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 13.3%	Kalshi	20%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 15.0%	Kalshi	11%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 17.6%	Kalshi	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

74%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

Oct 16, 2026 If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 16, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 17, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 16, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and bra

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel)
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Oct 16, 2026

If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 16, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 17, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 16, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and bra

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 16, 2026 is above 9.4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 17, "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 9.4%
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 8.5%
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 5.5%
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.4%
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 17.6%
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 15.0%
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 13.3%
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 11.7%
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 10.5%
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel)

Volume$0.00

Markets9

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KALSHI

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.4%

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢

KALSHITech

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.4%

If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 16, 2026 is above 4.4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 17,

KALSHI

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 5.5%

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢

KALSHITech

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 5.5%

If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 16, 2026 is above 5.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 17,

KALSHI

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 8.5%

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHITech

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 8.5%

If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 16, 2026 is above 8.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 17,

KALSHI

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 9.4%

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢

KALSHITech

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 9.4%

If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 16, 2026 is above 9.4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 17,

KALSHI

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 10.5%

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢

KALSHITech

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 10.5%

If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 16, 2026 is above 10.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 17,

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37¢

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Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel)

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Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.4%

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Events (1)

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel)

Markets (9)

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.4%

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.4%

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 5.5%

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 5.5%

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 8.5%

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 8.5%

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 9.4%

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 9.4%

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 10.5%

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 10.5%

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Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.4%

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Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel)

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.4%

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.4%

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 5.5%

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 5.5%

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 8.5%

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 8.5%

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 9.4%

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 9.4%

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 10.5%

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 10.5%

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