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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

AP calls the Alaska Senate race by...?

AP calls the Alaska Senate race by...?
Vol

PM $6.4K

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Events

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Markets

5

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 6, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is November 30 at 95.5%.

Polymarket

  1. November 3095.5%
  2. November 2286%
  3. November 1524.5%
  4. November 82.3%
  5. November 60.9%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $6.4K

Reported volume ยท provider units

5

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 6, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) calls the winner of the 2026 United States Senate general election in Alaska between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A call refers to the AP publicly declaring a winner of the race. A call for any candidate will qualify. Calls, projections, or declarations by any other news organization, or certification of results by the State of Alaska, will not qualify. A call made within the specified window will qualify even if it is later retracted. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

K 2.79M contracts
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?Yes 96.4%
Will Dan Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?Yes 3.5%
Will Gerald Heikes win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?Yes 0.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will AP call the Alaska Senate election?

When will AP call the Alaska Senate election?

K 3.8K contracts
Will AP call the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Jan 4, 2027?Yes 97%
Will AP call the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 26, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will AP call the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Nov 19, 2026?Yes 90%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 18, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Closest Senate race in 2026?

Closest Senate race in 2026?

K 3.40M contracts
Will Mississippi have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?Yes 95.5%
Will Alaska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?Yes 4.3%
Will Louisiana have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?Yes 1.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Jan 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Senate winner?

Alaska Senate winner?

K 24.73M contracts
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Alaska?Yes 97.2%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Alaska?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Senate winner? (2028)

Alaska Senate winner? (2028)

K 6.8K contracts
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Alaska?Yes 68.5%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Alaska?Yes 30%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Senate election margin of victory

Alaska Senate election margin of victory

K 220.1K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 3% and 6%?Yes 55.5%
Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 0% and 3%?Yes 44%
Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 6% and 9%?Yes 3%
+7 moreNext deadline Jun 2, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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