Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US private data center construction spending in September

Total Volume

$2.77K

Events

Markets

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US private data center construction spending in September

Vol

$2.77K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.77K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.77K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $77.5B?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $77.5B?	Kalshi	98%
Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $80.0B?	Kalshi	94%
Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $82.5B?	Kalshi	94%
Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $85.0B?	Kalshi	88%
Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $87.5B?	Kalshi	76%
Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $92.5B?	Kalshi	50%
Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $90.0B?	Kalshi	45%
Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $95.0B?	Kalshi	26%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$2.77K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

September 2026 If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 is above X billion, at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will resolve based on the first published estimate of U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 reported by the U.S. Census Bureau in its Value of Private Construction Put in Place – Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate data. The relevant figure is found un

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US private data center construction spending in September
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** September 2026

If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 is above X billion, at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will resolve based on the first published estimate of U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 reported by the U.S. Census Bureau in its Value of Private Construction Put in Place – Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate data. The relevant figure is found un

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 is above $95.0B (billion) at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market will resolve based on the first published estimate of U.S. private da"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $95.0B?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $92.5B?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 9, 2026): Vol $918
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $90.0B?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 9, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $87.5B?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 9, 2026): Vol $206
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $85.0B?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $82.5B?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $80.0B?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $77.5B?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 9, 2026): Vol $42
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US private data center construction spending in September

Volume$2.77K

Markets8

8 of 8

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KALSHI

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $77.5B?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $77.5B?

If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 is above $77.5B (billion) at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market will resolve based on the first published estimate of U.S. private da

KALSHI

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $80.0B?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.0¢No 6.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $80.0B?

If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 is above $80.0B (billion) at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market will resolve based on the first published estimate of U.S. private da

KALSHI

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $82.5B?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $82.5B?

If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 is above $82.5B (billion) at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market will resolve based on the first published estimate of U.S. private da

KALSHI

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $85.0B?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $85.0B?

If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 is above $85.0B (billion) at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market will resolve based on the first published estimate of U.S. private da

KALSHI

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $87.5B?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $87.5B?

If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 is above $87.5B (billion) at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market will resolve based on the first published estimate of U.S. private da

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71¢

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US private data center construction spending in September

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Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $77.5B?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

US private data center construction spending in September

Markets (8)

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $77.5B?

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $77.5B?

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $80.0B?

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $80.0B?

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $82.5B?

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $82.5B?

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $85.0B?

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $85.0B?

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $87.5B?

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $87.5B?

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Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $77.5B?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US private data center construction spending in September

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $77.5B?

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $77.5B?

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $80.0B?

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $80.0B?

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $82.5B?

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $82.5B?

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $85.0B?

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $85.0B?

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $87.5B?

Will U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 be above $87.5B?

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