Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next Mayor of Pardubice

Name: Next Mayor of Pardubice
End: 2027-06-30T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$11.49K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next Mayor of Pardubice

Vol

$11.49K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $11.49K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $11.49K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Jan Nadrchal be the next Mayor of Pardubice?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jan Nadrchal be the next Mayor of Pardubice?	Poly	69%
Will Ondřej Tichý be the next Mayor of Pardubice?	Poly	18%
Will Jakub Rychtecký be the next Mayor of Pardubice?	Poly	9%
Will Leoš Janda be the next Mayor of Pardubice?	Poly	7%
Will Petr Netolický be the next Mayor of Pardubice?	Poly	6%
Will Daniel Vondra be the next Mayor of Pardubice?	Poly	3%
Will Martin Slezák be the next Mayor of Pardubice?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

69%

Top Probability

$11.49K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in Czechia on October 9-10, 2026. The next mayor of Pardubice will be elected by the newly constituted council following the 2026 Czech municipal elections. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Pardubice following the 2026 Czech municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the city council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the electio

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Mayor of Pardubice
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2027 (262 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in Czechia on October 9-10, 2026. The next mayor of Pardubice will be elected by the newly constituted council following the 2026 Czech municipal elections.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Pardubice following the 2026 Czech municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the city council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the electio

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in Czechia on October 9-10, 2026. The next mayor of Pardubice will be elected by the newly constituted council following the 2026 Czech municipal elections.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of May"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $32.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.36)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Jan Nadrchal be the next Mayor of Pardubice?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 69.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ondřej Tichý be the next Mayor of Pardubice?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $836
  DATA: [Yes: 17.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Jakub Rychtecký be the next Mayor of Pardubice?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Martin Slezák be the next Mayor of Pardubice?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $867
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Daniel Vondra be the next Mayor of Pardubice?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Petr Netolický be the next Mayor of Pardubice?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Leoš Janda be the next Mayor of Pardubice?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics