Name: Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
End: 2026-01-29T03:00:00.000Z

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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | PredictPedia

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15 markets tracked

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?

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Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?	Poly	59%
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?	Poly	57%
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 3?	Poly	55%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 3?	Poly	52%
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 3?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 3?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
First Blood in Game 3?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?	Poly	45%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs  Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 29, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and  Pipsqueak+4 in the PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for January 28 at 4:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against  Pipsqueak+4.

This market will resolve to " Pipsqueak+4" if  Pipsqueak+4 win the match against Nigma Galaxy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winn

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming match between Nigma Galaxy and  Pipsqueak+4 in the PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for January 28 at 4:00PM ET:

This market is about the total kills in Game 1.

This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 53 or more. Otherwis"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $50
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 22.41)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [ Pipsqueak+4: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Nigma Galaxy: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $141
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $126
  DATA: [Over: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $151
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $190
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $147
  DATA: [Over: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $179
  DATA: [Over: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $128
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. First Blood in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Nigma Galaxy: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [ Pipsqueak+4: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $67
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Average Yes Price

51¢

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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?

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Events (1)

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Markets (15)

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?

Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 3?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?

Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 3?

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