Name: Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stage
End: 2026-01-31T20:00:00.000Z

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Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stage | PredictPedia

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Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stage

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Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stage	Poly	100%
Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport - Map 1 Winner	Poly	96%
Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport - Map 2 Winner	Poly	56%
Map Handicap: CAL (-1.5) vs Erah Esport (+1.5)	Poly	55%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	1%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stage
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Valorant match between Caldya Esport and Erah Esport in the VCL France: Revolution Group Stage, scheduled for January 31 at 9:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Caldya Esport" if Caldya Esport win the match against Erah Esport.

This market will resolve to "Erah Esport" if Erah Esport win the match against Caldya Esport.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Valorant match between Caldya Esport and Erah Esport in the VCL France: Revolution Group Stage, scheduled for January 31 at 9:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Caldya Esport" if Caldya Esport win the match against Erah Esport.

This market will resolve to "Erah Esport""

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $17.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $18.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.97)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stage
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $12.3K
  DATA: [Caldya Esport: 99.9% (0.0%)] | [Erah Esport: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport - Map 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Caldya Esport: 96.3% (0.0%)] | [Erah Esport: 3.7% (0.0%)]

### 3. Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport - Map 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Caldya Esport: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [Erah Esport: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Over: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Map Handicap: CAL (-1.5) vs Erah Esport (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Caldya Esport: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [Erah Esport: 45.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

61¢

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Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stage

Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stage

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Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stage

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Events (1)

Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stage

Markets (5)

Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stage

Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stage

Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport - Map 1 Winner

Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport - Map 1 Winner

Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport - Map 2 Winner

Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport - Map 2 Winner

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Map Handicap: CAL (-1.5) vs Erah Esport (+1.5)

Map Handicap: CAL (-1.5) vs Erah Esport (+1.5)

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stage

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Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stage

Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stage

Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stage

Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport - Map 1 Winner

Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport - Map 1 Winner

Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport - Map 2 Winner

Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Erah Esport - Map 2 Winner

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Map Handicap: CAL (-1.5) vs Erah Esport (+1.5)

Map Handicap: CAL (-1.5) vs Erah Esport (+1.5)

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