Snapshot observed 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The contract rules state that the market "will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season" [1]. Only Premier League matches count, so goals in domestic cups and European competitions are excluded [1]. If players tie, the market resolves to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically [1]. If the season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The primary resolution source is official Premier League statistics, and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].

The listed end times differ between contracts. Some end at 2027-06-15T03:59:00.000Z, while others end at 2027-05-31T23:59:00.000Z [1]. These are listed close times in the saved snapshot, not announced event dates. The rule text does not explain the difference.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z, and the application retrieved the source at 2026-10-18T07:47:35.544Z [1]. The prices describe that saved snapshot only. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

Within this event, the Yes price for Erling Haaland (Man City) is 0.71, the highest among the included markets. João Pedro (Chelsea) is at 0.11, and Alexander Isak (Liverpool) is at 0.095 [1]. The remaining included Yes prices range from 0.0055 to 0.0275 [1]. Each contract is a separate market, so the prices should be read individually rather than summed or treated as a single distribution.

What remains uncertain

This sample is partial. The saved event has 27 markets, and only 12 are included [1]. The sample ranks markets by Yes price, so the omitted markets are not shown. Their absence does not mean they have lower prices, and the included prices do not describe the full field.

The snapshot does not show trading volume, liquidity, or the number of traders. Volume is not a measure of liquidity or participant count. Differing prices across contracts do not by themselves indicate an opportunity. The evidence also does not explain any price movement or provide recent news about these players.

References

1. Polymarket: English Premier League: Top Goalscorer 2026-27. Provider data observed 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z.