Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

2027 Chicago Mayoral Election

Name: 2027 Chicago Mayoral Election
End: 2027-02-23T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$7.16K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

2027 Chicago Mayoral Election

Vol

$7.16K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $7.16K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.16K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will Alexi Giannoulias win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Alexi Giannoulias win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Poly	67%
Will Brandon Johnson win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Poly	12%
Will Susana Mendoza win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Poly	10%
Will Kam Buckner win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Poly	6%
Will Matt Brewer win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Poly	5%
Will George Cardenas win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Poly	4%
Will Maria Pappas win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Poly	4%
Will John Kelly win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Poly	1%
Will Danielle Carter-Walters win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Poly	1%
Will Joe Holberg win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Poly	1%
Will Willie Wilson win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Mike Quigley win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

67%

Top Probability

$7.16K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2027 Chicago mayoral election will be held on February 23, 2027, to elect the mayor of Chicago, Illinois. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on April 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City o

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 2027 Chicago Mayoral Election
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 23, 2027 (135 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The 2027 Chicago mayoral election will be held on February 23, 2027, to elect the mayor of Chicago, Illinois. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on April 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City o

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2027 Chicago mayoral election will be held on February 23, 2027, to elect the mayor of Chicago, Illinois. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on April 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary re"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $196.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.04)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Matt Brewer win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2027): Vol $366
  DATA: [Yes: 4.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Danielle Carter-Walters win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2027): Vol $201
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will George Cardenas win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2027): Vol $435
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Alexi Giannoulias win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Joe Holberg win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2027): Vol $102
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Brandon Johnson win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will John Kelly win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2027): Vol $242
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Susana Mendoza win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2027): Vol $730
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Mike Quigley win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2027): Vol $216
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Willie Wilson win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2027): Vol $195
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Maria Pappas win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2027): Vol $266
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Kam Buckner win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2027): Vol $337
  DATA: [Yes: 6.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics