Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner

Name: Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner
End: 2026-10-04T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$11.42K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner

Vol

$11.42K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $11.42K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $11.42K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Poly	98%
Will HDZ BiH win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Poly	1%
Will SDP BiH win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Poly	1%
Will SDS win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Poly	1%
Will DF win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Poly	1%
Will SNSD win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Poly	0%
Will NiP win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$11.42K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties w

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 4, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

Parties w

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $90.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.13)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $7.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will SNSD win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will SDP BiH win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $799
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will HDZ BiH win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $459
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will NiP win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $519
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will DF win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $608
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will SDS win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $696
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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