Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next Mayor of Olomouc

Name: Next Mayor of Olomouc
End: 2026-10-10T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$12.42K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next Mayor of Olomouc

Vol

$12.42K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $12.42K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $12.42K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?	Poly	52%
Will Marek Zelenka be the next Mayor of Olomouc?	Poly	48%
Will Matouš Pelikán be the next Mayor of Olomouc?	Poly	4%
Will Otakar Štěpán Bačák be the next Mayor of Olomouc?	Poly	2%
Will Pavel Jelínek be the next Mayor of Olomouc?	Poly	1%
Will Jan Vašíř be the next Mayor of Olomouc?	Poly	0%
Will Lucie Tungul be the next Mayor of Olomouc?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

52%

Top Probability

$12.42K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in Czechia on October 9-10, 2026. The next mayor of Olomouc will be elected by the newly constituted council following the 2026 Czech municipal elections. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Olomouc following the 2026 Czech municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the city council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election wi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Mayor of Olomouc
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 10, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in Czechia on October 9-10, 2026. The next mayor of Olomouc will be elected by the newly constituted council following the 2026 Czech municipal elections.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Olomouc following the 2026 Czech municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the city council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election wi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in Czechia on October 9-10, 2026. The next mayor of Olomouc will be elected by the newly constituted council following the 2026 Czech municipal elections.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $12.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $42.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.29)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $7.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Jan Vašíř be the next Mayor of Olomouc?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $538
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Lucie Tungul be the next Mayor of Olomouc?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $473
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Marek Zelenka be the next Mayor of Olomouc?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $828
  DATA: [Yes: 48.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.6% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Matouš Pelikán be the next Mayor of Olomouc?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Otakar Štěpán Bačák be the next Mayor of Olomouc?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $506
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Pavel Jelínek be the next Mayor of Olomouc?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $482
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics