Arkansas gas prices tomorrow
K 40 contracts
1
17
Arkansas gas prices tomorrow
K 40 contracts
1
17
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 3.7500 at 95%.
Kalshi
- Above 3.750095%
- Above 3.755094.5%
- Above 3.745094.5%
- Above 3.740094.5%
- Above 3.735094.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 40 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
17
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
On Nov 2, 2026 If average regular gas prices for Arkansas are strictly greater than X on Nov 2, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T03:00:06.103Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved event is titled "Arkansas gas prices tomorrow" [1]. Its rule states: "If average regular gas prices for Arkansas are strictly greater than X on Oct 27, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] Each included market uses a different threshold for X, so each contract asks a separate question. A market with a higher threshold requires a higher average price to resolve Yes.
The rule's date is Oct 27, 2026 [1]. The saved market records list an end date of 2026-11-03T14:00:00.000Z [1], but the source excerpt says the event's listed end time was "not supplied" [1]. Readers should not treat either timestamp as the moment the average price is measured, because the supplied evidence does not establish that.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-27T03:00:06.103Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-27T05:40:31.014Z [1]. These prices describe that observation window only. They are not live quotes and are not executable prices.
In the saved sample, Yes prices fall as the threshold rises. Yes is priced at 0.99 for "above $3.8000" and 0.98 for "above $3.7950" [1]. It is about 0.955 for thresholds from $3.8050 to $3.8200, and 0.69 for "above $3.8300" [1]. Yes is priced at 0.045 for thresholds from $3.8450 to $3.8600 [1]. These are contract prices, not verified probabilities.
The sample is partial. Twelve of 17 markets from this one provider event are included [1]. The selection favors higher Yes prices, so the omitted markets are not shown here. Their absence does not mean they priced lower, and this snapshot cannot describe them. No volume figures are supplied, so the data does not show liquidity or trader activity. No other platform's contracts are included, so no cross-platform comparison is made.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not include the AAA average price reading, any current gas price data, or any explanation for how prices changed. It also does not confirm the listed close time or when the rule's measurement is published. Because the Yes prices reflect one saved observation, they cannot show what the market is pricing at the moment of reading. Anyone comparing thresholds should check the exact wording of each contract and the observation timestamps before drawing conclusions.
References
- Kalshi: Arkansas gas prices tomorrow. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T03:00:06.103Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
PredictPedia's Arkansas gas prices contract is a Kalshi event titled "Arkansas gas prices tomorrow." Its stated rule is that if average regular gas prices for Arkansas are strictly greater than a threshold X on Oct 27, 2026, according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The contract is therefore a threshold question about one day's average regular gas price in Arkansas, with AAA named as the reference source [1]. Each market in the event uses a different threshold, so the same underlying question is split into several price levels. The rules excerpt identifies the Oct 27, 2026 date as the date on which the average price is measured [1]. That date appears in the contract rules and is not described as an announced event or publication schedule. The excerpt also states that the provider status is active and that no listed end time was supplied [1]. The market records in this article carry an end date of Nov 3, 2026 at 14:00 UTC. That field is a provider record and should not be read as the moment the average price is measured or as the resolution rule. The market prices shown here are from a snapshot taken at 03:00 UTC on Oct 27, 2026, earlier on the day the article was prepared. At that time, the Yes price was 0.99 at the lowest threshold listed, $3.8000, and 0.955 at thresholds from $3.8050 to $3.8200. It fell to 0.69 at $3.8300 and to 0.045 at $3.8450 and above. The No prices mirror these values. These are snapshot prices from one provider, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome. The sample is partial. For this event, 12 of 17 total markets were included. The sample ranks included markets by their Yes price, so the five omitted thresholds are not shown and should not be assumed to be priced lower. Because the sample covers one provider event, its rankings should not be compared with markets from other events or platforms.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether one reference figure, the average regular gas price in Arkansas according to AAA on Oct 27, 2026, is strictly above a chosen threshold [1]. Its value to a reader is in understanding how the rule converts a price level into a yes or no result. The threshold, the named source, the measurement date, and the strict greater-than wording each determine the outcome [1]. Readers should check those rule terms directly before interpreting any price, since prices summarize market activity at one moment rather than confirming how the average will turn out.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Arkansas gas prices contract ask?
It asks whether average regular gas prices for Arkansas are strictly greater than a threshold X on Oct 27, 2026, according to AAA. If so, the market resolves to Yes [1].
Which source determines the result?
The contract names AAA as the source for the average regular gas price [1]. The supplied rules do not describe how AAA calculates its average, so that calculation is not covered here.
Why are there many markets in one event?
The event contains separate markets with different thresholds, such as $3.8000, $3.8300, and $3.8500 [1]. Each threshold asks whether the same measured average will be strictly above that specific level.
Does the listed end date show when the price will be measured?
No. The contract rules give Oct 27, 2026 as the measurement date and state that no listed end time was supplied [1]. The provider's end date field of Nov 3, 2026 is not described in the rules as the measurement or resolution moment.
Are the market prices probabilities?
No. The prices are snapshots from one provider taken at 03:00 UTC on Oct 27, 2026. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
Does the sample show every threshold in the event?
No. Twelve of the 17 markets in this provider event are included. The included markets were selected by Yes price, so omitted thresholds should not be assumed to have lower prices.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
