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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?
Vol

PM $42.1K

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Events

1

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Markets

5

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is $1M at 7%.

Polymarket

  1. $1M7%
  2. $2M5.5%
  3. $3M2.6%
  4. $4M2.2%
  5. $5M0.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $42.1K

Reported volume · provider units

5

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Based’s cumulative Polymarket revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the Based revenue bar chart available at https://dune.com/datadashboards/based-statistics, using the “Cumulative Revenue” value displayed when hovering over the daily data point. This market will resolve as soon as the cumulative revenue shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for Dec 31, 2026 is finalized and no earlier value has met or exceeded that threshold. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on on-chain data, Based official communication, or other reliable crypto sources.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiCrypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

PM $118.75M · K 26.60M contracts

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Related contracts

PM Yes 18.5%Rules differK Yes 20.5%

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be below $55000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

Related contracts

PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 10.5%

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be below $50000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

Related contracts

PM Yes 7.5%Rules differK Yes 8.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

11 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
What will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit before 2027?

What will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit before 2027?

PM $19.5K
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 5 Gwei before 2027?Yes 28%
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 15 Gwei before 2027?Yes 14%
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027?Yes 12%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCrypto
When will Bitcoin hit $100k?

When will Bitcoin hit $100k?

PM $143.4K · K 2.10M contracts

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be above $100000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?

Related contracts

PM Yes 18.5%Rules differK Yes 21.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
When will Ethereum hit $3k?

When will Ethereum hit $3k?

PM $104.2K
Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2027?Yes 67.5%
Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027?Yes 66%
Will Ethereum hit $3k by June 30, 2027?Yes 59%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
When will XRP hit $2?

When will XRP hit $2?

PM $83.9K
Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2027?Yes 43%
Will XRP hit $2 by September 30, 2027?Yes 42.5%
Will XRP hit $2 by June 30, 2027?Yes 36.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
When will Ethereum hit $4k?

When will Ethereum hit $4k?

PM $62.9K
Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027?Yes 41.5%
Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027?Yes 32%
Will Ethereum hit $4k by June 30, 2027?Yes 23%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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