Name: Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC - More Markets
End: 2026-04-06T14:00:00.000Z

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Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC - More Markets | PredictPedia

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9 markets tracked

Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Over/Under 1.5

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Over/Under 1.5	Poly	76%
Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score	Poly	54%
Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	51%
Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Over/Under 3.5	Poly	28%
Spread: Derby County FC (-1.5)	Poly	27%
Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Over/Under 4.5	Poly	14%
Spread: Derby County FC (-2.5)	Poly	12%
Spread: Stoke City FC (-1.5)	Poly	8%
Spread: Stoke City FC (-2.5)	Poly	3%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC - More Markets
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 6, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** More markets for the EFL Championship game, scheduled for April 6 at 10:00 AM ET.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for April 6 at 10:00 AM ET:

This market will resolve to "Derby County FC" if Derby County FC win the game by 2 or more goals.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Stoke City FC".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the g"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $588.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Spread: Derby County FC (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2026): Vol $85
  DATA: [Derby County FC: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [Stoke City FC: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Spread: Stoke City FC (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2026): Vol $371
  DATA: [Stoke City FC: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [Derby County FC: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Spread: Derby County FC (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2026): Vol $466
  DATA: [Derby County FC: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [Stoke City FC: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Spread: Stoke City FC (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Stoke City FC: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [Derby County FC: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Over/Under 1.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2026): Vol $783
  DATA: [Over: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Over/Under 3.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2026): Vol $707
  DATA: [Over: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Over/Under 4.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2026): Vol $585
  DATA: [Over: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 6, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

30¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/qJ4C35" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC - More Markets"></iframe>

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Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC - More Markets

Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC - More Markets

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Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Over/Under 1.5

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC - More Markets

Markets (9)

Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score

Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score

Spread: Derby County FC (-1.5)

Spread: Derby County FC (-1.5)

Spread: Stoke City FC (-1.5)

Spread: Stoke City FC (-1.5)

Spread: Derby County FC (-2.5)

Spread: Derby County FC (-2.5)

Spread: Stoke City FC (-2.5)

Spread: Stoke City FC (-2.5)

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Over/Under 1.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC - More Markets

Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score

Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score

Spread: Derby County FC (-1.5)

Spread: Derby County FC (-1.5)

Spread: Stoke City FC (-1.5)

Spread: Stoke City FC (-1.5)

Spread: Derby County FC (-2.5)

Spread: Derby County FC (-2.5)

Spread: Stoke City FC (-2.5)

Spread: Stoke City FC (-2.5)

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