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Events
GroupKALSHI

Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (November 2026)

Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (November 2026)
Vol

K 215 contracts

|
Events

1

|
Markets

13

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 14M at 70.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Above 14M70.5%
  2. Above 15M67.5%
  3. Above 14.25M66.5%
  4. Above 14.5M64.5%
  5. Above 14.75M63.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 215 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

13

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Justin Bieber: November 2026 If Justin Bieber has above X Global views on YouTube at any point during November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. View counts may vary by location. This market will resolve using values displayed from a New York IP address. Global daily views can be accessed through YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting “Global” as the location. This market and these products have not been endorsed by YouTube. Any references to YouTube charts or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between YouTube and Kalshi. This market will expire once the event occurs.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T12:00:06.236Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied Kalshi event asks whether Justin Bieber will have a daily view count above a stated threshold "at any point during November 2026." According to the rules excerpt, the market resolves to Yes if the count goes above X global YouTube views during that period [1]. The rules also say that "View counts may vary by location" and that the market "will resolve using values displayed from a New York IP address" [1]. Global daily views are described as accessible through YouTube Charts, with "Global" selected as the location [1].

Each threshold is a separate contract with its own title. The listed contract end date is 2026-12-11T15:00:00Z for every included market [1]. The event excerpt states "Listed end time: not supplied," so that date should be read as the listed close time for these contracts, not as a resolution date. The excerpt also says the market "will expire once the event occurs" [1].

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-28T12:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-28T15:53:30Z [1]. These are historical snapshot values, not current quotes, and they are not executable prices.

The sample includes 12 of 13 markets from this single Kalshi event [1]. Among the included thresholds, Yes prices range from 0.53 (above 16M) to 0.64 (above 14.25M). Prices do not fall in a simple order as thresholds rise. For example, the above 16.75M contract is listed at 0.60, while the above 16.5M contract is listed at 0.55. The snapshot records these values without explaining them, so this report does not infer a cause.

Because the sample is partial, the omitted thirteenth market's price is unknown. Its absence does not indicate a lower or higher price. Results from other events or platforms are not comparable here, because each provider event has its own thresholds, wording, and close times.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show the current prices, trading volume, liquidity, or number of participants. It also does not state the reason for any price movement. Only one provider source is supplied, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Differences in price between contracts with different thresholds do not by themselves indicate an opportunity, because each contract has distinct resolution conditions. Readers should check the current contract rules and listed close times directly with the provider before drawing conclusions.

References

  1. Kalshi: Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (November 2026). Provider data observed 2026-10-28T12:00:06.236Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTC

This saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.

Overview

This contract asks whether Justin Bieber's global daily view count on YouTube will be above a stated threshold at any point during November 2026. The contract is titled "Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (November 2026)" and is listed on Kalshi. Its rule is that if Bieber has above X global views on YouTube at any point during November 2026, the market resolves to Yes [1]. Each individual market in the event uses a different value for X, so the event as a whole covers a range of view-count thresholds rather than a single question. The contract depends on how YouTube view counts are displayed. The rules state that view counts may vary by location, and that the market will resolve using values displayed from a New York IP address [1]. The rules also point to YouTube Charts as a place to find global daily views, by searching for the artist and selecting "Global" as the location [1]. The rules say the market will expire once the event occurs [1]. The retrieved provider record lists its status as active and does not supply a listed end time [1]. That means the contract text sets the resolution logic, but the supplied evidence does not establish when the underlying view count will reach any threshold. The subject of the contract is a widely known recording artist. Wikipedia describes Bieber as a Canadian singer and notes that he is known for image reinventions and multi-genre performances [3]. The discography article reports that he has released eight studio albums and has attained eight number-one hits on the US Billboard Hot 100 [2]. These details help explain why a view-count market exists for him, but they do not predict his daily views in November 2026.

Historical Context

Wikipedia's discography article says Bieber has released eight studio albums, one reissued album, three remix albums, two live albums, three compilation albums, two extended plays, 76 singles, and 10 promotional singles [2]. It also reports that he has attained eight number-one hits on the US Billboard Hot 100 and eight number-one albums on the US Billboard 200 [2]. The article states that, as of June 2026, Bieber has sold an estimated 150 million records worldwide [2]. These are historical figures from the cited article, not measurements of his November 2026 YouTube activity.

Why It Matters

The contract measures whether a specific YouTube metric, global daily views as shown on the stated display basis, passes a set threshold during a defined period [1]. Because the rule says the market resolves Yes if the threshold is exceeded at any point during November 2026, the question concerns the peak of the daily count rather than an average or a closing value [1]. The rules also note that the figures can vary by location, which is why the resolution source is tied to a New York IP address and to the Global setting on YouTube Charts [1]. Traders who read these markets should keep those specific rules in mind, since the contract is defined by its resolution method rather than by general popularity.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the contract require for a Yes resolution?

The contract resolves to Yes if Justin Bieber has above the stated number of global views on YouTube at any point during November 2026 [1].

Why might the view count differ depending on where it is checked?

The rules say view counts may vary by location, and that the market will resolve using values displayed from a New York IP address [1].

Where does the contract say global daily views can be found?

The rules say global daily views can be accessed through YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting Global as the location [1].

When does the market end?

The rules say the market will expire once the event occurs [1]. The retrieved record does not supply a listed end time for the provider event [1], so the evidence does not establish a fixed closing date for the view-count event itself.

Is a market price the same as the likelihood of a Yes outcome?

No. A price is a snapshot from a market and is not a verified probability or an executable quote. The contract's Yes outcome still depends on the YouTube value shown under the rules in [1].

Was this helpful?
Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiTech
Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026)

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Will Justin Bieber have above 14.5M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
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Will Justin Bieber have above 14M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
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Will Justin Bieber have above 15.5M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 90%
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Will Tate McRae have above 5M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Tate McRae have above 4.9M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Tate McRae have above 4.8M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
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Will Taylor Swift have above 13.9M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Taylor Swift have above 13.8M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Taylor Swift have above 13.7M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
+28 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
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Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (November 2026)

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Will Tate McRae have above 2.2M daily views at any point during November 2026?Yes 98.5%
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Will Taylor Swift have above 13.7M daily views at any point during November 2026?Yes 98.5%
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Will Taylor Swift have above 13M daily views at any point during November 2026?Yes 97%
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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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