$89.60K
1
6
$89.60K
1
6
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 28 at 6:00PM ET: If the Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to "Blackhawks". If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, o
Prediction markets are giving the "Over" bet on this game a roughly 4 in 5 chance of hitting. This means traders collectively believe there is a very high probability that the combined score of the Chicago Blackhawks and Colorado Avalanche game will exceed 4.5 total goals. It's a strong consensus favoring a higher-scoring game.
Two main factors are driving this prediction. First, the Colorado Avalanche are one of the highest-scoring teams in the NHL this season, led by elite offensive talent. Their games frequently feature plenty of goals. Second, while the Chicago Blackhawks are near the bottom of the league standings, they have a young roster that can struggle defensively, especially against a powerhouse like Colorado. Games between a top offensive team and a weaker defensive team often result in higher scores. Historical matchups between these teams have also tended to be higher-scoring affairs, adding to the market's confidence.
The key event is the game itself on Wednesday, February 28. The only thing that could shift this prediction now is a last-minute lineup change, such as a key scorer being declared inactive shortly before puck drop. The market will resolve as soon as the final score is official.
For major professional sports like the NHL, prediction markets on totals (over/under) are generally reliable but not perfect. They efficiently aggregate information like team stats, injuries, and historical trends. However, they can't account for the random variance inherent in any single game. A hot goalie or an unusual number of missed shots could lead to a lower score than expected. While the 79% probability shows strong conviction, it still implies about a 1 in 5 chance the game stays under 4.5 goals.
Prediction markets assign a 79% probability to the total goals in the Blackhawks vs. Avalanche game exceeding 4.5. This price indicates a strong consensus that the game will be high-scoring. With the "Yes" share trading at 79¢, the implied odds are roughly 4-to-1 in favor of the over. For context, a separate market on the game's moneyline shows the Colorado Avalanche as heavy favorites, priced around 90¢. The over/under market has attracted $90,000 in volume, which is notable but suggests liquidity is concentrated on this specific proposition.
Two primary elements justify the high probability for over 4.5 goals. First, the matchup features a stark talent imbalance. The Colorado Avalanche possess one of the league's most potent offenses, averaging over 3.6 goals per game. They are facing a Chicago Blackhawks team that is near the bottom of the league standings, both in points and in goals against per game. Chicago's defensive weaknesses are a consistent problem. Second, recent performance reinforces this view. In their two previous meetings this season, the Avalanche won 4-0 and 5-1. The combined score of 9-1 directly supports the market's expectation for another game where Colorado's offense dominates a vulnerable opponent.
The primary risk to the "over" bet is goaltending. An exceptional performance from Chicago's goaltender, or a conservative, defensive game plan from the Avalanche if they secure an early lead, could suppress scoring. The market price at 79% already accounts for Colorado's offensive power, leaving little room for error. A key injury to a top Avalanche scorer like Nathan MacKinnon or Mikko Rantanen before puck drop would likely cause the "Yes" share price to drop significantly. However, with the game scheduled for February 28, the window for such a catalyst is narrow. The most probable shift would come from in-game events, such as a low-scoring first period, but the market will resolve before that information can be traded upon.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market focuses on the outcome of a National Hockey League regular season game between the Chicago Blackhawks and the Colorado Avalanche, scheduled for February 28. The market will resolve based on the official game result, including any overtime or shootout. The Blackhawks and Avalanche are members of the NHL's Central Division, making this a divisional matchup with implications for playoff positioning and draft lottery odds. The game is part of the 2023-2024 NHL regular season schedule. The Colorado Avalanche entered the season as a Stanley Cup contender, having won the championship in 2022. The Chicago Blackhawks are in a rebuilding phase, having selected generational talent Connor Bedard first overall in the 2023 NHL Draft. This creates a classic matchup between a top-tier team and a developing squad, which often generates significant betting interest due to potential upsets and star performances. The game's location, either at the United Center in Chicago or Ball Arena in Denver, will also influence team performance and fan engagement.
The Chicago Blackhawks and Colorado Avalanche have a competitive history dating back to the Avalanche's relocation from Quebec in 1995. Both franchises are part of the NHL's 'Original Six' and 'Post-1990s Expansion' eras, respectively, creating a contrast in tradition. They have met in the playoffs on several occasions, most notably in the 1996 Western Conference Finals, where the Avalanche defeated the Blackhawks en route to their first Stanley Cup championship after moving to Denver. The rivalry intensified in the late 1990s and early 2000s with matchups featuring stars like Patrick Roy, Joe Sakic, and Peter Forsberg for Colorado, and Chris Chelios and Tony Amonte for Chicago. In recent years, the competitive balance has shifted dramatically. The Avalanche won the Stanley Cup in 2022, cementing their status as a modern powerhouse built around Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar. The Blackhawks, who won three Stanley Cups between 2010 and 2015, entered a full rebuild following the departure of core players like Patrick Kane and Jonathan Toews. This game represents a clash between the league's recent past and its current elite tier.
The outcome of this game has tangible consequences for both franchises' trajectories this season. For the Avalanche, every point is vital in a highly competitive Western Conference race for playoff seeding and home-ice advantage. A loss to a lower-ranked team could impact their standing. For the Blackhawks, results are evaluated through the lens of player development and future draft capital. While winning is positive for morale, their position in the league standings affects their odds in the NHL Draft Lottery, where a top pick could accelerate the rebuild. Beyond the teams, the game matters to the league's business ecosystem. It features one of the NHL's biggest marketing assets in Connor Bedard, whose appearances drive television ratings, ticket sales, and merchandise revenue. For prediction markets and sportsbooks, games with clear favorites and high-profile underdogs generate substantial betting volume, making the point spread and moneyline active markets.
As of late February 2024, the Colorado Avalanche are firmly in playoff position, battling for the top spot in the Central Division. Key players like MacKinnon, Makar, and Mikko Rantanen are healthy and producing. The Chicago Blackhawks are near the bottom of the league standings. Connor Bedard returned to the lineup in late February after missing several weeks with a jaw fracture, providing a significant boost to the team. The Blackhawks' lineup features several other young players, such as Kevin Korchinski and Philipp Kurashev, who are being evaluated for their long-term roles. The specific injury reports for both teams in the days leading up to February 28 will be a final determinant of game conditions.
The game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. The Avalanche will have home-ice advantage for this matchup.
National broadcast information varies. In the United States, the game may be televised on ESPN+, TNT, or NHL Network. Local broadcasts will be on Altitude Sports for Colorado and NBC Sports Chicago for Chicago.
The Colorado Avalanche are significant favorites in this matchup. Sportsbooks typically set the moneyline odds heavily in Colorado's favor, reflecting their superior record, home-ice advantage, and overall team strength.
Connor Bedard returned from a jaw fracture in late February 2024. He is expected to play against the Avalanche barring any setback, though he may be wearing a full-face shield for protection.
The Avalanche have dominated recent matchups. In the 2022-23 season, Colorado won all three games against Chicago by a combined score of 17-7.
For the Avalanche, the game is important for securing playoff seeding and home-ice advantage. For the Blackhawks, the game has minimal playoff implication as they are not in contention, but it affects their draft lottery odds.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
6 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 79% |
| Poly | 77% |
| Poly | 59% |
| Poly | 47% |
| Poly | 28% |
| Poly | 24% |
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