GroupKALSHI

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2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

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2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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of 0 cross-platform

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21 markets tracked

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs))

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Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs))	Kalshi	27%
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Shehbaz Sharif)	Kalshi	14%
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières))	Kalshi	14%
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Save the Children)	Kalshi	10%
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Volodymyr Zelenskyy)	Kalshi	10%
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Yulia Navalnaya)	Kalshi	7%
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Pope Leo XIV)	Kalshi	7%
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine)	Kalshi	6%
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Donald Trump)	Kalshi	5%
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue)	Kalshi	5%
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (UNRWA)	Kalshi	5%
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Minneapolis)	Kalshi	4%
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Narges Mohammadi)	Kalshi	4%
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (International Criminal Court)	Kalshi	3%
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Committee to Protect Journalists)	Kalshi	3%
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Francesca Albanese)	Kalshi	3%
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Sam Altman)	Kalshi	2%
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Dario Amodei)	Kalshi	2%
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Elon Musk)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (International Court of Justice (ICJ))	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (European Union)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

27%

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$0.00

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About This Event

In 2026 If X wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early after the award is announced. This market will close and expire early after the award is announced.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If X wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early after the award is announced. This market will close and expire early after the award is announced.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Donald Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early after the award is announced."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Donald Trump)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Elon Musk)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (International Court of Justice (ICJ))
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Volodymyr Zelenskyy)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Shehbaz Sharif)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (UNRWA)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Pope Leo XIV)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (International Criminal Court)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Committee to Protect Journalists)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Save the Children)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Yulia Navalnaya)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Sam Altman)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Dario Amodei)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Minneapolis)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs))
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Narges Mohammadi)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Francesca Albanese)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (European Union)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières))
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

Volume$0.00

Markets21

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KALSHI

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs))

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 26.5¢No 73.5¢

KALSHISports

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs))

If Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs) wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early after the award is announced.

KALSHI

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Shehbaz Sharif)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢

KALSHISports

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Shehbaz Sharif)

If Shehbaz Sharif wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early after the award is announced.

KALSHI

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières))

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢

KALSHISports

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières))

If Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early after the award is announced.

KALSHI

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Save the Children)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

KALSHISports

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Save the Children)

If Save the Children wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early after the award is announced.

KALSHI

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Volodymyr Zelenskyy)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHISports

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Volodymyr Zelenskyy)

If Volodymyr Zelenskyy wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early after the award is announced.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/qMWLpr" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner"></iframe>

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2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

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Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs))

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

Markets (4)

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs))

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs))

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Shehbaz Sharif)

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Shehbaz Sharif)

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières))

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières))

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Save the Children)

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Save the Children)

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Volodymyr Zelenskyy)

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Volodymyr Zelenskyy)

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Discussion

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs))

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs))

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs))

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Shehbaz Sharif)

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Shehbaz Sharif)

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières))

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières))

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Save the Children)

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Save the Children)

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Volodymyr Zelenskyy)

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? (Volodymyr Zelenskyy)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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