Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate

Name: CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate
End: 2026-10-14T22:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$233.62

Events

Markets

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CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate

Vol

$233.62

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $233.62

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $233.62

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-10-07?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-10-07?	Poly	56%
Will CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?	Poly	27%
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-10-07?	Poly	17%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$233.62

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 7, 2026 between CA Sarmiento and CA River Plate.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 14, 2026 (3 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 7, 2026 between CA Sarmiento and CA River Plate.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 7, 2026
If CA Sarmiento wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $234
* **Total Liquidity:** $21.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-10-07?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $66
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will CA River Plate win on 2026-10-07?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $159
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate

This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 7, 2026 between CA Sarmiento and CA River Plate.

Volume$233.62

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-10-07?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 56.5¢No 43.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-10-07?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 7, 2026 If CA River Plate wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game

POLYMARKET

Will CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 27.0¢No 73.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 7, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up

POLYMARKET

Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-10-07?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 17.0¢No 83.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-10-07?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 7, 2026 If CA Sarmiento wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game,

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Next Market Closes

Calculating time remaining…

Oct 14, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

34¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/qS09fa" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate"></iframe>

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CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate

CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate

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Will CA River Plate win on 2026-10-07?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate

Markets (3)

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-10-07?

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-10-07?

Will CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?

Will CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?

Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-10-07?

Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-10-07?

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Discussion

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Will CA River Plate win on 2026-10-07?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-10-07?

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-10-07?

Will CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?

Will CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?

Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-10-07?

Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-10-07?

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Discussion

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