Name: Derby County FC vs. Swansea City AFC
End: 2026-02-14T15:00:00.000Z

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Derby County FC vs. Swansea City AFC | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-14?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-14?	Poly	41%
Will Derby County FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?	Poly	30%
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-02-14?	Poly	28%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Derby County FC vs. Swansea City AFC
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 14, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, February 14, 2026 between Derby County FC and Swansea City AFC.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 14, 2026
If Derby County FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up g"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $169.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-14?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 14, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Derby County FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 14, 2026): Vol $210
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-02-14?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 14, 2026): Vol $192
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/qSu3hm" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Derby County FC vs. Swansea City AFC"></iframe>

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Derby County FC vs. Swansea City AFC

Derby County FC vs. Swansea City AFC

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Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-14?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Derby County FC vs. Swansea City AFC

Markets (3)

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-14?

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-14?

Will Derby County FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?

Will Derby County FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?

Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-02-14?

Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-02-14?

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Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-14?

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Derby County FC vs. Swansea City AFC

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-14?

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-14?

Will Derby County FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?

Will Derby County FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?

Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-02-14?

Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-02-14?

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