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Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Name: Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$200.82K

Events

Markets

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Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

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Polymarket

markets · $200.82K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $200.82K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$200.82K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Qualifying incidents include, but are not lim

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, June 29, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.

Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.

Qualifying incidents include, but are not lim

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.

Missile/drone "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $74.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.6K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 28.76)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $74.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

1¢

Polymarket

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/qrHDsY" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Houthis successfully target shipping by...?"></iframe>

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Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

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Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)