Grammy Award for Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical? | PredictPedia

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6 markets tracked

Will Amy Allen win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Amy Allen win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?	Kalshi	64%
Will Tobias Jesso Jr. win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?	Kalshi	12%
Will Laura Veltz win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?	Kalshi	9%
Will Jessie Jo Dillon win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?	Kalshi	7%
Will Edgar Barrera win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?	Kalshi	7%
Will Tie win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?	Kalshi	2%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Grammy Award for Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical?
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If X has won Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If  Tobias Jesso Jr. has won Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $5.07M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Tobias Jesso Jr. win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 1, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Tie win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Laura Veltz win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 1, 2027): Vol $137
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Jessie Jo Dillon win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 1, 2027): Vol $103
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Edgar Barrera win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 1, 2027): Vol $197
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Amy Allen win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 1, 2027): Vol $3.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

17¢

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Grammy Award for Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical?

Grammy Award for Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical?

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Will Amy Allen win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

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Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Grammy Award for Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical?

Markets (6)

Will Amy Allen win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

Will Amy Allen win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

Will Tobias Jesso Jr. win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

Will Tobias Jesso Jr. win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

Will Laura Veltz win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

Will Laura Veltz win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

Will Jessie Jo Dillon win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

Will Jessie Jo Dillon win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

Will Edgar Barrera win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

Will Edgar Barrera win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

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Will Amy Allen win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Grammy Award for Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical?

Will Amy Allen win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

Will Amy Allen win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

Will Tobias Jesso Jr. win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

Will Tobias Jesso Jr. win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

Will Laura Veltz win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

Will Laura Veltz win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

Will Jessie Jo Dillon win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

Will Jessie Jo Dillon win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

Will Edgar Barrera win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

Will Edgar Barrera win Songwriter Of The Year, Non-Classical at the Grammys?

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