Name: Incheon Mayoral Election Winner
End: 2026-06-03T00:00:00.000Z

PredictPedia

Markets Wiki

Incheon Mayoral Election Winner | PredictPedia

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $127.75K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $127.75K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	Poly	83%
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	Poly	8%
Will Kim Kyo-heung win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	Poly	4%
Will Park Nam-choon win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	Poly	3%
Will Lee Hak-jae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	Poly	1%
Will Chung Il-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	Poly	1%
Will Bae June-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Yoo Dong-soo win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

83%

Top Probability

$127.75K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Incheon Mayoral Election Winner
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 3, 2026 (139 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon. 

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon. 

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $127.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $35.1K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.64)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $46.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Bae June-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $47.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Chung Il-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $3.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Kim Kyo-heung win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $4.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Lee Hak-jae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Park Nam-choon win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $11.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Yoo Dong-soo win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 3, 2026): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETWorld