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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Name: LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
End: 2026-05-01T15:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.50M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Vol

$1.50M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.50M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.50M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

24 markets tracked

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(24)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	73%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	65%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	51%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Poly	50%
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	Poly	50%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	50%
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Poly	44%
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)	Poly	23%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	19%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	13%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	13%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	12%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	11%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	3%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

73%

Top Probability

$1.50M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 1 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Anyone's Legend. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market wi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 1, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 1 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Anyone's Legend.

This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win the match against Top Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market wi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 1. In League of Legends, each team has three inhibitors (one in each lane), located behind the inner turrets.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Top Esports and Anyone's Legend each destroy at least one "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $355
* **Total Liquidity:** $9.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.04)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $101
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $101
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $43
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 17. LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Top Esports: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [Anyone's Legend: 77.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Volume$1.50M

Markets24

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POLYMARKET

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 72.5¢No 27.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 3. In League of Legends, each team has three inhibitors (one in each lane), located behind the inner turrets. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Top Esports and Anyone's Legend each destroy at least one

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 65.0¢No 35.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 2. In League of Legends, each team has three inhibitors (one in each lane), located behind the inner turrets. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Top Esports and Anyone's Legend each destroy at least one

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market wi

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?

This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Game 1 is an odd number. This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Game 1 is an even number. "Total combined kills" includes all champion kills recorded during the match by both Top

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 2. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market wi

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39¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/quUjCR" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend"></iframe>

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LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

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Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Markets (24)

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

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Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

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LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

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