Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland?
PM $39.1K
1
9
Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland?
PM $39.1K
1
9
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Åsa Johansson at 72.3%.
Polymarket
- Åsa Johansson72.3%
- Sara Gunnarsson8%
- Mikael Strandman4.7%
- Tobias Eriksson2.4%
- Elisabeth Björk2.3%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $39.1K
Reported volume · provider units
9
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
Regional elections to elect the Regional Council of Värmland, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Värmland following the 2026 Swedish regional elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region Värmland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-24T15:00:06.814Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved Polymarket event asks who will be the next Chair of the Regional Board of Region Värmland. The rules say the market "will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Värmland following the 2026 Swedish regional elections" [1]. To count, the person must be "formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board," and "Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market" [1]. If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The rules state that the regional elections are scheduled for September 13, 2026 [1]. That is a date from the contract background, not an announcement made in this snapshot.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-24T15:00:06.814Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-24T16:50:30.131Z [1]. These prices describe that observation only, not current trading. The nine saved markets are each a separate Yes/No contract for one named person. The highest Yes snapshot is Åsa Johansson at 0.8405, followed by Sara Gunnarsson at 0.418 and Tobias Eriksson at 0.184. The remaining six range from 0.0255 down to 0.0005 [1]. These are quoted prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they should not be averaged or summed into a single view.
The listed end time for every market is 2026-09-14T03:59:00.000Z, which is earlier than the observation time [1]. The status field still reads "active" [1]. The evidence does not explain this mismatch, so a reader should not assume the market is open for trading today.
The saved sample includes all nine markets for this event, and the coverage record shows no partial sample [1]. The saved set does not include a separate "Other" contract, even though the rules name that outcome [1].
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show why any price was set or changed, and it does not show how many traders hold each view. It also does not include any reporting on the election or on whether a Chair has been elected. The sample warning notes that the listed markets do not establish that every real-world outcome is covered [1]. Because the only source here is the Polymarket record, a reader cannot compare wording or close times with another platform from this material.
References
- Polymarket: Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland?. Provider data observed 2026-10-24T15:00:06.814Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 24, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia contract concerns who will become Chair of the Regional Board of Region Värmland in Sweden. Its rules say it will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes that office following the 2026 Swedish regional elections [1]. The rules describe those elections as scheduled for September 13, 2026 [1]. That is a date stated in the contract text, not confirmation that the vote has taken place or of its result. To count toward resolution, a person must be formally elected by the regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker chair does not count [1]. If no such chair takes office by March 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The primary resolution source is official information from the government of Sweden and Region Värmland, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The saved event contains nine individual markets, each asking whether a specific named person will be the next Regional Board Chair. In the saved snapshot, the Yes prices were 0.8405 for Åsa Johansson, 0.418 for Sara Gunnarsson, 0.184 for Tobias Eriksson, 0.0255 for Mikael Strandman, 0.0235 for Elisabeth Björk, 0.0045 for Erik Evestam, 0.001 for Fredrik Larsson, and 0.0005 each for Sara Hallin and Marianne Utterdahl [1]. These are snapshot prices from separate binary markets. Their Yes prices add up to more than 1, so they should not be read as a single consistent probability distribution across the candidates. The provider lists an end time of September 14, 2026 at 03:59 UTC for these markets [1]. That time is earlier than the observation time of this snapshot. The available material does not explain this difference or show whether the markets have closed, traded further, or resolved, so the prices describe only the saved moment.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow outcome: whether a particular named individual formally becomes Chair of the Regional Board of Region Värmland after the 2026 regional elections, as defined by the rules [1]. Because the rules require formal election by the regional council and exclude interim or caretaker chairs, a person who holds a temporary role does not satisfy the condition [1]. The fallback to "Other" if no chair takes office by the March 31, 2027 deadline means that the contract also covers the case where no chair is installed in that window [1]. Anyone reading the prices should keep in mind that they are snapshots and not executable quotes, and that the contract's resolution depends on the official sources named in its rules [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-24 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Who does this market resolve to?
It resolves to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Värmland following the 2026 Swedish regional elections [1].
Does an interim or caretaker chair count?
No. The rules state that any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward resolution of the market [1].
What happens if no chair takes office by the deadline?
If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1].
What source determines the outcome?
The primary resolution source is official information from the government of Sweden and Region Värmland, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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