GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Who will run for public office in 2026?

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Who will run for public office in 2026?

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Kalshi

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Kalshi

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10 markets tracked

Will Matt Gaetz announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Matt Gaetz announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?	Kalshi	8%
Will Casey DeSantis announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?	Kalshi	8%
Will Mark Cuban announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will Joe Kent announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will Jake Paul announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?	Kalshi	6%
Will Danica Patrick announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will Paul Finebaum announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will Glenn Youngkin announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will Matthew McConaughey announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will Nicki Minaj announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

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About This Event

Before Nov 3, 2026 If X has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcemen

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will run for public office in 2026?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Nov 3, 2026

If X has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcemen

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Joe Kent has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Joe Kent announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Jake Paul announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Nicki Minaj announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Paul Finebaum announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Matthew McConaughey announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.1% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Matt Gaetz announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Mark Cuban announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.7% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Glenn Youngkin announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Danica Patrick announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Casey DeSantis announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Who will run for public office in 2026?

Volume$0.00

Markets10

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KALSHI

Will Matt Gaetz announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.3¢No 91.6¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Matt Gaetz announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

If Matt Gaetz has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce t

KALSHI

Will Casey DeSantis announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.6¢No 92.4¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Casey DeSantis announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

If Casey DeSantis has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announ

KALSHI

Will Mark Cuban announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.3¢No 93.7¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Mark Cuban announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

If Mark Cuban has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce t

KALSHI

Will Joe Kent announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.2¢No 93.8¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Joe Kent announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

If Joe Kent has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce the

KALSHI

Will Jake Paul announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Jake Paul announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

If Jake Paul has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce th

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/qynsNw" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will run for public office in 2026?"></iframe>

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Who will run for public office in 2026?

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Will Matt Gaetz announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will run for public office in 2026?

Markets (10)

Will Matt Gaetz announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

Will Matt Gaetz announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

Will Casey DeSantis announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

Will Casey DeSantis announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

Will Mark Cuban announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

Will Mark Cuban announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

Will Joe Kent announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

Will Joe Kent announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

Will Jake Paul announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

Will Jake Paul announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Will Matt Gaetz announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will run for public office in 2026?

Will Matt Gaetz announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

Will Matt Gaetz announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

Will Casey DeSantis announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

Will Casey DeSantis announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

Will Mark Cuban announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

Will Mark Cuban announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

Will Joe Kent announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

Will Joe Kent announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

Will Jake Paul announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

Will Jake Paul announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

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