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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

CO-03 House Election Winner

Name: CO-03 House Election Winner
End: 2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$902.35

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

CO-03 House Election Winner

Vol

$902.35

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $902.35

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $902.35

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Poly	64%
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Poly	33%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

64%

Top Probability

$902.35

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. If no winner is announced by November 4, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections a

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, July 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** CO-03 House Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 4, 2026 (113 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

If no winner is announced by November 4, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections a

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

If no winner is announced by November 4, 2026, 11:59PM ET, t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $902
* **Total Liquidity:** $16.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.06)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $542
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $360
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics